Distribution Finance Capital Holdings plc

AIM:DFCH Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£41.5m

Distribution Finance Capital Holdings Valuation

Is DFCH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DFCH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate DFCH's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate DFCH's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DFCH?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

DFCH key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio0.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DFCH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DFCH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.1x
LIT Litigation Capital Management
6.1xn/aUK£129.1m
TIME Time Finance
9.4x13.0%UK£36.9m
DUKE Duke Capital
10.6x22.3%UK£134.0m
EQLS Equals Group
30.5x24.7%UK£236.0m
DFCH Distribution Finance Capital Holdings
13.1x49.7%UK£41.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DFCH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the peer average (14.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DFCH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Diversified Financial Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DFCH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the UK Diversified Financial industry average (11.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DFCH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DFCH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.1x
Fair PE Ratio24.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DFCH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DFCH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£0.23
UK£0.58
+146.8%
3.4%UK£0.60UK£0.56n/a2
Apr ’25UK£0.23
UK£0.58
+152.2%
3.4%UK£0.60UK£0.56n/a2
Mar ’25UK£0.26
UK£0.58
+123.1%
3.4%UK£0.60UK£0.56n/a2
Feb ’25UK£0.28
UK£0.58
+110.9%
3.4%UK£0.60UK£0.56n/a2
Jan ’25UK£0.23
UK£0.58
+157.8%
3.4%UK£0.60UK£0.56n/a2
Dec ’24UK£0.21
UK£0.58
+176.2%
3.4%UK£0.60UK£0.56n/a2
Nov ’24UK£0.27
UK£0.77
+185.2%
2.6%UK£0.79UK£0.75n/a2
Oct ’24UK£0.29
UK£0.77
+165.5%
2.6%UK£0.79UK£0.75n/a2
Sep ’24UK£0.29
UK£0.77
+165.5%
2.6%UK£0.79UK£0.75n/a2
Aug ’24UK£0.34
UK£0.77
+129.9%
2.6%UK£0.79UK£0.75n/a2
Jul ’24UK£0.34
UK£0.77
+123.2%
2.6%UK£0.79UK£0.75n/a2
Jun ’24UK£0.37
UK£0.77
+108.1%
2.6%UK£0.79UK£0.75n/a2
May ’24UK£0.39
UK£0.77
+100.0%
2.6%UK£0.79UK£0.75n/a2
Sep ’23UK£0.34
UK£0.74
+119.1%
0.7%UK£0.75UK£0.74UK£0.292
Aug ’23UK£0.35
UK£0.74
+109.9%
0.7%UK£0.75UK£0.74UK£0.342
Jul ’23UK£0.35
UK£0.74
+112.9%
0.7%UK£0.75UK£0.74UK£0.342
Jun ’23UK£0.38
UK£0.74
+98.7%
0.7%UK£0.75UK£0.74UK£0.372
May ’23UK£0.41
UK£0.74
+83.0%
0.7%UK£0.75UK£0.74UK£0.392
Apr ’23UK£0.46
UK£0.88
+91.3%
8.0%UK£0.95UK£0.81UK£0.372

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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