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Argentex Group PLC (LON:AGFX) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 29%
Argentex Group PLC (LON:AGFX) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 29% after a shaky period beforehand. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 50% share price drop in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, Argentex Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Capital Markets industry in the United Kingdom, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3x and even P/S above 9x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
See our latest analysis for Argentex Group
What Does Argentex Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Argentex Group's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Argentex Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
Argentex Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 13%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 62% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 5.5% as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 16%, which paints a poor picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that Argentex Group's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Final Word
Even after such a strong price move, Argentex Group's P/S still trails the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Argentex Group's P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Argentex Group (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About AIM:AGFX
Argentex Group
Provides bespoke currency risk management and payment solutions in the United Kingdom.
Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.