SSP Group Valuation

Is SSPG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SSPG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SSPG (£1.62) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£2.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SSPG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SSPG?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SSPG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.3x
PEG Ratio3.4x

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SSPG's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SSPG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1x
MAB Mitchells & Butlers
0.6x3.3%UK£1.5b
DOM Domino's Pizza Group
1.8x6.1%UK£1.2b
JDW J D Wetherspoon
0.4x3.7%UK£731.6m
YNGA Young's Brewery
1.4x7.7%UK£488.5m
SSPG SSP Group
0.4x6.1%UK£1.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SSPG is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SSPG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SSPG is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the UK Hospitality industry average (1.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SSPG's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SSPG PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ratio1.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: SSPG is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SSPG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£1.62
UK£2.64
+62.8%
22.7%UK£3.50UK£1.60n/a15
Oct ’25UK£1.57
UK£2.70
+71.8%
21.6%UK£3.50UK£1.60n/a16
Sep ’25UK£1.70
UK£2.78
+63.6%
19.8%UK£3.50UK£1.60n/a16
Aug ’25UK£1.74
UK£2.81
+61.4%
19.3%UK£3.50UK£1.60n/a16
Jul ’25UK£1.45
UK£2.79
+92.4%
19.1%UK£3.50UK£1.60n/a16
Jun ’25UK£1.66
UK£2.92
+75.3%
12.0%UK£3.50UK£2.25n/a16
May ’25UK£1.95
UK£2.96
+52.3%
11.4%UK£3.50UK£2.25n/a16
Apr ’25UK£2.19
UK£3.03
+38.4%
9.2%UK£3.50UK£2.55n/a16
Mar ’25UK£2.20
UK£3.03
+38.2%
9.2%UK£3.50UK£2.55n/a16
Feb ’25UK£2.24
UK£3.04
+35.7%
9.0%UK£3.50UK£2.60n/a16
Jan ’25UK£2.35
UK£3.04
+29.6%
8.8%UK£3.50UK£2.60n/a16
Dec ’24UK£2.12
UK£3.06
+44.3%
10.2%UK£3.60UK£2.45n/a16
Nov ’24UK£1.85
UK£3.07
+65.9%
10.5%UK£3.60UK£2.45UK£1.6216
Oct ’24UK£2.03
UK£3.08
+52.3%
10.9%UK£3.60UK£2.45UK£1.5717
Sep ’24UK£2.33
UK£3.21
+37.8%
11.3%UK£4.00UK£2.60UK£1.7018
Aug ’24UK£2.43
UK£3.21
+32.3%
11.3%UK£4.00UK£2.60UK£1.7418
Jul ’24UK£2.51
UK£3.21
+28.1%
11.3%UK£4.00UK£2.60UK£1.4518
Jun ’24UK£2.69
UK£3.16
+17.6%
11.0%UK£4.00UK£2.60UK£1.6619
May ’24UK£2.58
UK£3.11
+20.6%
11.5%UK£4.00UK£2.40UK£1.9519
Apr ’24UK£2.46
UK£3.12
+26.8%
11.6%UK£4.00UK£2.40UK£2.1918
Mar ’24UK£2.55
UK£3.11
+22.1%
11.5%UK£4.00UK£2.40UK£2.2019
Feb ’24UK£2.66
UK£3.09
+16.2%
12.3%UK£4.00UK£2.40UK£2.2419
Jan ’24UK£2.29
UK£3.06
+33.8%
13.3%UK£4.00UK£2.45UK£2.3518
Dec ’23UK£2.10
UK£2.99
+42.3%
11.0%UK£3.50UK£2.45UK£2.1217
Nov ’23UK£2.08
UK£3.03
+45.6%
11.9%UK£3.55UK£2.45UK£1.8517

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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