Sodexo Valuation

Is SWP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SWP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SWP (€80.48) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€67.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SWP is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SWP?

Key metric: As SWP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SWP. This is calculated by dividing SWP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SWP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16x
Earnings€738.00m
Market Cap€11.82b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SWP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SWP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.4x
GRG Greggs
20.1x7.0%UK£2.8b
ROO Deliveroo
44.2x36.8%UK£2.2b
CPG Compass Group
32x11.8%UK£44.9b
DOM Domino's Pizza Group
17.2x9.0%UK£1.3b
SWP Sodexo
16x8.5%€11.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SWP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the peer average (28.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SWP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Hospitality Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TAST Tasty
0.4x-75.9%US$2.72m
No more companies available in this PE range
No. of Companies6PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SWP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the UK Hospitality industry average (20.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SWP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SWP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SWP's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SWP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€80.48
€92.33
+14.7%
7.9%€110.00€80.00n/a18
Nov ’25€80.78
€92.50
+14.5%
7.5%€110.00€80.00n/a18
Oct ’25€72.98
€90.72
+24.3%
5.6%€98.00€80.00n/a18
Sep ’25€81.38
€92.00
+13.1%
5.4%€99.00€80.00n/a19
Aug ’25€85.10
€92.46
+8.6%
5.2%€99.00€80.00n/a19
Jul ’25€85.13
€92.29
+8.4%
5.3%€100.00€80.00n/a19
Jun ’25€85.53
€91.53
+7.0%
5.9%€100.00€78.00n/a19
May ’25n/a
€90.92
0%
5.3%€100.00€80.00n/a18
Apr ’25n/a
€90.04
0%
4.8%€99.00€80.00n/a18
Mar ’25n/a
€90.07
0%
4.8%€99.00€80.00n/a18
Feb ’25€103.83
€112.06
+7.9%
9.4%€122.00€89.00n/a18
Jan ’25n/a
€115.56
0%
7.1%€133.00€99.00n/a18
Dec ’24€98.51
€114.78
+16.5%
7.7%€133.00€99.00n/a18
Nov ’24€100.68
€114.78
+14.0%
7.6%€133.00€99.00€80.7818
Oct ’24n/a
€110.88
0%
7.0%€123.00€96.00€72.9818
Sep ’24€99.71
€110.60
+10.9%
6.8%€123.00€96.00€81.3818
Aug ’24€93.36
€109.73
+17.5%
7.6%€123.00€94.00€85.1019
Jul ’24€101.30
€107.84
+6.5%
7.4%€120.00€94.00€85.1319
Jun ’24€100.75
€106.49
+5.7%
6.2%€114.00€94.00€85.5320
May ’24€97.05
€103.84
+7.0%
7.6%€114.00€87.00n/a20
Apr ’24€88.66
€100.44
+13.3%
6.1%€114.00€87.00n/a21
Mar ’24€88.96
€100.37
+12.8%
6.2%€114.00€87.00n/a21
Feb ’24€90.12
€100.13
+11.1%
6.0%€114.00€87.00€103.8321
Jan ’24n/a
€99.53
0%
5.8%€111.00€87.00n/a20
Dec ’23€92.21
€97.83
+6.1%
5.5%€105.00€87.00€98.5120
Nov ’23€88.99
€94.78
+6.5%
7.5%€105.00€78.00€100.6820

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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