Carnival Corporation & plc

BATS-CHIXE:CCLL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£25.9b

Carnival Corporation & Valuation

Is CCLL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CCLL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CCLL (£17.89) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£48.13)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CCLL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CCLL?

Key metric: As CCLL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CCLL. This is calculated by dividing CCLL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CCLL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.7x
EarningsUS$1.57b
Market CapUS$32.50b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CCLL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CCLL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.6x
IHG InterContinental Hotels Group
30x10.7%UK£15.3b
WTB Whitbread
21.3x17.8%UK£5.1b
TRN Trainline
32.9x15.1%UK£1.8b
PPH PPHE Hotel Group
22.3x31.6%UK£488.9m
CCLL Carnival Corporation &
20.7x19.8%UK£32.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CCLL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.7x) compared to the peer average (26.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CCLL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Hospitality Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TAST Tasty
0.4x-75.9%US$2.72m
No more companies available in this PE range
No. of Companies6PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CCLL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.7x) compared to the UK Hospitality industry average (20.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CCLL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CCLL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.7x
Fair PE Ratio36.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CCLL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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