Stock Analysis

We Think Brighton Pier Group (LON:PIER) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

AIM:PIER
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies The Brighton Pier Group PLC (LON:PIER) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Brighton Pier Group

What Is Brighton Pier Group's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Brighton Pier Group had UK£15.4m of debt in December 2021, down from UK£16.7m, one year before. On the flip side, it has UK£7.26m in cash leading to net debt of about UK£8.19m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
AIM:PIER Debt to Equity History June 11th 2022

How Healthy Is Brighton Pier Group's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Brighton Pier Group had liabilities of UK£22.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of UK£25.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had UK£7.26m in cash and UK£1.35m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total UK£38.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's UK£30.4m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Brighton Pier Group has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 2.2, its interest cover seems weak, at 2.4. This does suggest the company is paying fairly high interest rates. Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. We also note that Brighton Pier Group improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive UK£2.4m. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Brighton Pier Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Brighton Pier Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

Neither Brighton Pier Group's ability to handle its total liabilities nor its interest cover gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Brighton Pier Group is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Brighton Pier Group has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Brighton Pier Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.