Stock Analysis

Ocado Group plc's (LON:OCDO) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce

LSE:OCDO
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The Ocado Group plc (LON:OCDO) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 28%. Looking further back, the 23% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in the United Kingdom's Consumer Retailing industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.3x, you may consider Ocado Group as a stock to avoid entirely with its 2.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Ocado Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
LSE:OCDO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 1st 2024

How Ocado Group Has Been Performing

There hasn't been much to differentiate Ocado Group's and the industry's revenue growth lately. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Ocado Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Ocado Group's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 7.4% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 34% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 11% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 3.6% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Ocado Group is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

The strong share price surge has lead to Ocado Group's P/S soaring as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Ocado Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Ocado Group.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Ocado Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.