X5 Retail Group
Market Cap
US$9.2b
Last Updated
2021/06/24 20:22 UTC
Data Sources
Company Financials +
Executive Summary
X5 Retail Group N.V. operates as a food retailer in Russia. More Details
Rewards
Risk Analysis
Dividend of 9.09% is not well covered by earnings or forecast to be in the next 3 years
Snowflake Analysis
Solid track record and good value.
Similar Companies
Share Price & News
How has X5 Retail Group's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?
Latest Share Price and Events
Stable Share Price: FIVE is less volatile than 75% of UK stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 3% a week.
Volatility Over Time: FIVE's weekly volatility (3%) has been stable over the past year.
Market Performance
7 Day Return
2.3%
FIVE
2.8%
GB Consumer Retailing
-0.7%
GB Market
1 Year Return
-4.5%
FIVE
-5.4%
GB Consumer Retailing
19.3%
GB Market
Return vs Industry: FIVE exceeded the UK Consumer Retailing industry which returned -5.6% over the past year.
Return vs Market: FIVE underperformed the UK Market which returned 19.5% over the past year.
Shareholder returns
| FIVE | Industry | Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Day | 2.3% | 2.8% | -0.7% |
| 30 Day | 9.2% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| 90 Day | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% |
| 1 Year | 3.1%-4.5% | 13.2%-5.4% | 25.0%19.3% |
| 3 Year | 48.6%24.5% | 2.5%-19.7% | 14.1%1.0% |
| 5 Year | 109.7%68.3% | 42.9%9.5% | 46.8%19.1% |
Long-Term Price Volatility Vs. Market
How volatile is X5 Retail Group's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?
Simply Wall St News
No news available
Valuation
Is X5 Retail Group undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?
>50%
Undervalued compared to fair value
Share Price vs. Fair Value
Below Fair Value: FIVE ($33.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($168.87)
Significantly Below Fair Value: FIVE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Price To Earnings Ratio
PE vs Industry: FIVE is good value based on its PE Ratio (20.6x) compared to the UK Consumer Retailing industry average (22.9x).
PE vs Market: FIVE is good value based on its PE Ratio (20.6x) compared to the UK market (25x).
Price to Earnings Growth Ratio
PEG Ratio: FIVE is poor value based on its PEG Ratio (1.3x)
Price to Book Ratio
PB vs Industry: FIVE is overvalued based on its PB Ratio (6.4x) compared to the GB Consumer Retailing industry average (1.7x).
Future Growth
How is X5 Retail Group forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 15 analysts?
15.8%
Forecasted annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: FIVE's forecast earnings growth (15.8% per year) is above the savings rate (0.9%).
Earnings vs Market: FIVE's earnings (15.8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the UK market (17.3% per year).
High Growth Earnings: FIVE's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: FIVE's revenue (9.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the UK market (5.3% per year).
High Growth Revenue: FIVE's revenue (9.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: FIVE's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (55.4%).
Past Performance
How has X5 Retail Group performed over the past 5 years?
3.2%
Historical annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue History
Quality Earnings: FIVE has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: FIVE's current net profit margins (1.6%) are higher than last year (0.8%).
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: FIVE's earnings have grown by 3.2% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: FIVE's earnings growth over the past year (110.8%) exceeds its 5-year average (3.2% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: FIVE earnings growth over the past year (110.8%) exceeded the Consumer Retailing industry 53.9%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: Whilst FIVE's Return on Equity (31.2%) is high, this metric is skewed due to their high level of debt.
Financial Health
How is X5 Retail Group's financial position?
Financial Position Analysis
Short Term Liabilities: FIVE's short term assets (RUB192.9B) do not cover its short term liabilities (RUB401.5B).
Long Term Liabilities: FIVE's short term assets (RUB192.9B) do not cover its long term liabilities (RUB661.9B).
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
Debt Level: FIVE's debt to equity ratio (241.9%) is considered high.
Reducing Debt: FIVE's debt to equity ratio has increased from 135.7% to 241.9% over the past 5 years.
Debt Coverage: FIVE's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (58.8%).
Interest Coverage: FIVE's interest payments on its debt are not well covered by EBIT (2.1x coverage).
Balance Sheet
Dividend
What is X5 Retail Group current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
9.09%
Current Dividend Yield
Dividend Yield vs Market
Notable Dividend: FIVE's dividend (9.09%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the UK market (1.27%).
High Dividend: FIVE's dividend (9.09%) is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the UK market (4.06%)
Stability and Growth of Payments
Stable Dividend: Whilst dividend payments have been stable, FIVE has been paying a dividend for less than 10 years.
Growing Dividend: FIVE's dividend payments have increased, but the company has only paid a dividend for 3 years.
Current Payout to Shareholders
Dividend Coverage: With its high payout ratio (156.3%), FIVE's dividend payments are not well covered by earnings.
Future Payout to Shareholders
Future Dividend Coverage: FIVE's dividends in 3 years are not forecast to be well covered by earnings (105.8% payout ratio).
Next Steps
Management
How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?
2.4yrs
Average management tenure
CEO
Igor Shekhterman (50 yo)
5.58yrs
Tenure
₽275,000,000
Compensation
Mr. Igor Shekhterman has been the Chief Executive Officer and Member of Management Board at X5 Retail Group N.V. of Alfa Group Consortium since November 12, 2015 and serves as its Chairman of Management Bo...
CEO Compensation Analysis
Compensation vs Market: Igor's total compensation ($USD3.79M) is above average for companies of similar size in the UK market ($USD2.21M).
Compensation vs Earnings: Igor's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.
Leadership Team
Experienced Management: FIVE's management team is considered experienced (2.4 years average tenure).
Board Members
Experienced Board: FIVE's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 2.8 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.
Ownership
Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?
Insider Trading Volume
Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.
Ownership Breakdown
Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.
Top Shareholders
Company Information
X5 Retail Group N.V.'s company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources
Key Information
- Name: X5 Retail Group N.V.
- Ticker: FIVE
- Exchange: LSE
- Founded: 1975
- Industry: Food Retail
- Sector: Consumer Retailing
- Market Cap: US$9.232b
- Shares outstanding: 271.53m
- Website: https://www.x5.ru
Number of Employees
Location
- X5 Retail Group N.V.
- WTC Tower H
- 24th Floor
- Amsterdam
- Noord-Holland
- 1077 XV
- Netherlands
Listings
Biography
X5 Retail Group N.V. operates as a food retailer in Russia. As of December 31, 2020, the company had 17,707 company-operated stores, including 16,709 Pyaterochka proximity stores, 933 Perekrestok supermark...
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2021/06/24 20:22 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2021/06/24 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2021/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2020/12/31 |
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.