David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Vistry Group PLC (LON:VTY) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Vistry Group
How Much Debt Does Vistry Group Carry?
As you can see below, Vistry Group had UK£313.0m of debt, at June 2022, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds UK£427.9m in cash, so it actually has UK£115.0m net cash.
How Healthy Is Vistry Group's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Vistry Group had liabilities of UK£1.23b falling due within a year, and liabilities of UK£406.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had UK£427.9m in cash and UK£263.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total UK£940.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Vistry Group has a market capitalization of UK£2.15b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Vistry Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
But the other side of the story is that Vistry Group saw its EBIT decline by 5.3% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Vistry Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Vistry Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Vistry Group generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 88% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Summing Up
While Vistry Group does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of UK£115.0m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of UK£154m, being 88% of its EBIT. So we are not troubled with Vistry Group's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Vistry Group (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) .
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About LSE:VTY
Undervalued with solid track record.