Stock Analysis

Should You Buy Games Workshop Group PLC (LON:GAW)?

LSE:GAW
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Games Workshop Group PLC (LSE:GAW), a leisure company based in United Kingdom, saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the LSE. Less-covered, small caps sees more of an opportunity for mispricing due to the lack of information available to the public, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Games Workshop Group’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists. Check out our latest analysis for Games Workshop Group

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Is Games Workshop Group still cheap?

Games Workshop Group appears to be overvalued by 24% at the moment, based on my discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at UK£24.50 on the market compared to my intrinsic value of £19.71. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! Another thing to keep in mind is that Games Workshop Group’s share price is quite stable relative to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This means that if you believe the current share price should move towards its intrinsic value over time, a low beta could suggest it is not likely to reach that level anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range again.

What does the future of Games Workshop Group look like?

LSE:GAW Future Profit May 12th 18
LSE:GAW Future Profit May 12th 18
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Games Workshop Group, it is expected to deliver a relatively unexciting top-line growth of 4.39% in the next few years, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. Growth doesn’t appear to be a main reason for a buy decision for the company, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in GAW’s future outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe GAW should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on GAW for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Games Workshop Group. You can find everything you need to know about Games Workshop Group in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Games Workshop Group, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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Simply Wall St analyst Simply Wall St and Simply Wall St have no position in any of the companies mentioned. This article is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

About LSE:GAW

Games Workshop Group

Engages in the design, manufacture, distribution, and sale of fantasy miniature figures and games in the United Kingdom, Continental Europe, North America, Australia, New Zealand, Asia, and internationally.

Outstanding track record with flawless balance sheet and pays a dividend.

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