Stock Analysis

Dr. Martens plc's (LON:DOCS) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 27%

LSE:DOCS
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Dr. Martens plc (LON:DOCS) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 27% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 49% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, Dr. Martens' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in the United Kingdom, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 18x and even P/E's above 30x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Dr. Martens as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Dr. Martens

pe-multiple-vs-industry
LSE:DOCS Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 21st 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Dr. Martens' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Dr. Martens' Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Dr. Martens' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 42%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year EPS growth is still a noteworthy 21% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 20% per annum during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 15% per annum.

In light of this, it's understandable that Dr. Martens' P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Final Word

Dr. Martens' recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Dr. Martens' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Dr. Martens (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Dr. Martens is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.