Moncler Valuation

Is 0QII undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0QII when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0QII (€64.42) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€33.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0QII is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0QII?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0QII key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA17.7x
PEG Ratio3.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0QII's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0QII vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.8x
BRBY Burberry Group
9x3.7%UK£4.1b
MUL Mulberry Group
17.4xn/aUK£64.1m
VTY Vistry Group
17.9x16.1%UK£4.0b
BKG Berkeley Group Holdings
10.9x-2.9%UK£5.0b
0QII Moncler
28.7x8.7%€17.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0QII is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.7x) compared to the peer average (13.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0QII's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0QII is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.7x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (15.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0QII's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0QII PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.7x
Fair PE Ratio19.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0QII is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0QII forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€64.42
€69.82
+8.4%
9.6%€81.00€47.50n/a23
Apr ’25€69.17
€67.36
-2.6%
10.3%€81.00€47.50n/a23
Mar ’25€67.46
€65.74
-2.5%
10.1%€76.00€47.50n/a24
Feb ’25€57.12
€61.81
+8.2%
9.4%€70.00€47.50n/a25
Jan ’25€55.90
€63.21
+13.1%
11.2%€78.00€47.50n/a25
Dec ’24€50.53
€63.73
+26.1%
10.8%€78.00€47.50n/a25
Nov ’24€49.31
€64.41
+30.6%
11.0%€78.00€47.50n/a25
Oct ’24€55.34
€68.56
+23.9%
10.0%€78.00€47.50n/a25
Sep ’24€62.56
€70.82
+13.2%
11.7%€80.00€47.50n/a24
Aug ’24€63.98
€70.28
+9.8%
13.7%€80.00€45.00n/a24
Jul ’24€62.74
€69.55
+10.9%
13.9%€80.00€45.00n/a24
Jun ’24€61.51
€69.73
+13.4%
13.9%€80.00€45.00n/a24
May ’24€66.68
€65.74
-1.4%
13.2%€80.00€41.50n/a24
Apr ’24€63.54
€62.86
-1.1%
12.2%€75.00€41.50€69.1724
Mar ’24€59.71
€61.57
+3.1%
11.4%€70.00€41.50€67.4625
Feb ’24€57.12
€58.32
+2.1%
11.0%€70.00€41.50€57.1225
Jan ’24€49.75
€57.18
+14.9%
11.4%€70.00€41.50€55.9025
Dec ’23€49.94
€57.18
+14.5%
12.2%€70.00€37.50€50.5325
Nov ’23€44.53
€57.80
+29.8%
12.4%€70.00€37.50€49.3126
Oct ’23€41.68
€58.50
+40.3%
13.1%€70.00€37.50€55.3426
Sep ’23€43.50
€59.22
+36.1%
11.9%€70.00€37.50€62.5625
Aug ’23€49.09
€58.46
+19.1%
12.3%€70.00€37.50€63.9825
Jul ’23€40.33
€59.83
+48.3%
11.1%€70.00€37.50€62.7425
Jun ’23€44.87
€62.54
+39.4%
11.8%€74.00€37.50€61.5125
May ’23€50.57
€62.79
+24.2%
14.2%€74.00€27.00€66.6825
Apr ’23€50.67
€63.19
+24.7%
15.2%€75.30€27.00€63.5424

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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