Peloton Interactive, Inc.

LSE:0A46 Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.6b

Peloton Interactive Valuation

Is 0A46 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0A46 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0A46 ($9.47) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($6.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0A46 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0A46?

Key metric: As 0A46 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 0A46. This is calculated by dividing 0A46's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 0A46's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.4x
SalesUS$2.69b
Market CapUS$3.64b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 0A46's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 0A46 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.7x
GAW Games Workshop Group
8.4x4.8%UK£4.4b
CCT Character Group
0.4xn/aUK£52.1m
BWY Bellway
1.3x10.2%UK£3.0b
HRN Hornby
0.7xn/aUK£42.5m
0A46 Peloton Interactive
1.4x-0.2%US$3.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 0A46 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the peer average (2.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 0A46's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Leisure Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0A46 1.4xIndustry Avg. 0.9xNo. of Companies5PS00.61.21.82.43+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 0A46 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the European Leisure industry average (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0A46's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0A46 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 0A46 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0A46 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$9.47
US$8.20
-13.3%
44.7%US$20.00US$2.50n/a17
Nov ’25US$7.42
US$7.64
+3.0%
51.2%US$20.00US$2.50n/a17
Oct ’25US$4.42
US$5.33
+20.8%
68.0%US$20.00US$2.00n/a19
Sep ’25US$4.62
US$5.31
+14.8%
68.5%US$20.00US$2.00n/a19
Aug ’25US$3.36
US$4.82
+43.7%
79.4%US$20.00US$2.00n/a19
Jul ’25US$3.28
US$4.86
+48.2%
78.3%US$20.00US$2.00n/a19
Jun ’25US$3.55
US$4.77
+34.3%
78.3%US$20.00US$2.00n/a20
May ’25US$3.20
US$5.82
+82.0%
61.7%US$20.00US$2.50n/a21
Apr ’25US$4.33
US$5.98
+38.0%
58.6%US$20.00US$3.00n/a21
Mar ’25US$4.67
US$6.10
+30.7%
56.5%US$20.00US$3.00n/a22
Feb ’25US$4.32
US$6.65
+53.9%
53.3%US$20.00US$3.00n/a22
Jan ’25US$6.09
US$7.42
+21.9%
50.7%US$20.00US$3.00n/a23
Dec ’24US$6.15
US$7.55
+22.8%
51.7%US$20.00US$3.00n/a23
Nov ’24US$4.77
US$7.79
+63.3%
38.7%US$14.00US$4.00US$7.4222
Oct ’24US$4.99
US$8.16
+63.5%
37.1%US$14.00US$4.00US$4.4222
Sep ’24US$6.57
US$8.64
+31.4%
42.7%US$20.00US$4.00US$4.6222
Aug ’24US$9.66
US$12.04
+24.7%
37.6%US$20.00US$4.50US$3.3624
Jul ’24US$7.81
US$12.04
+54.2%
37.6%US$20.00US$4.50US$3.2824
Jun ’24US$7.95
US$12.42
+56.2%
34.8%US$20.00US$4.50US$3.5524
May ’24US$8.94
US$15.34
+71.6%
31.5%US$22.00US$4.50US$3.2024
Apr ’24US$11.17
US$15.24
+36.5%
31.1%US$22.00US$4.50US$4.3325
Mar ’24US$12.79
US$15.52
+21.4%
30.9%US$22.00US$4.50US$4.6725
Feb ’24US$15.74
US$13.18
-16.2%
31.4%US$20.00US$4.50US$4.3225
Jan ’24US$7.77
US$12.65
+62.8%
27.8%US$20.00US$5.00US$6.0927
Dec ’23US$11.64
US$12.63
+8.5%
28.4%US$20.00US$5.00US$6.1526
Nov ’23US$8.84
US$15.27
+72.7%
34.0%US$25.00US$8.00US$4.7726

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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