Thule Group Valuation
Is THULES undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Future Cash Flow Value
Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value
What is the Fair Price of THULES when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
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Below Future Cash Flow Value: THULES (SEK229.8) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (SEK405.18)
Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: THULES is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for THULES?
Key metric: As THULES is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is THULES's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 23.1x |
| Earnings | SEK 1.06b |
| Market Cap | SEK 24.33b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 2.7x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 14.6x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.5x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does THULES's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 30.6x | ||
GAW Games Workshop Group | 28.5x | 0.85% | UK£5.9b |
COA Coats Group | 26.8x | 27.17% | UK£1.6b |
VTY Vistry Group | 56.5x | 25.78% | UK£2.1b |
BKG Berkeley Group Holdings | 10.4x | 2.53% | UK£3.8b |
THULES Thule Group | 23.1x | 15.88% | SEK 24.3b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: THULES is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.1x) compared to the peer average (30.6x).
Historical Price to Earnings Ratio
Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.
Fetching historical data
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does THULES's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Leisure Industry?
| 1 Company | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Company | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: THULES is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.1x) compared to the Global Leisure industry average (23x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is THULES's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 23.1x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate THULES's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | SEK 229.80 | SEK 280.71 +22.16% | 6.35% | SEK 300.00 | SEK 250.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Jan ’27 | n/a | SEK 282.50 0% | 7.49% | SEK 310.00 | SEK 250.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Dec ’26 | n/a | SEK 290.00 0% | 6.45% | SEK 310.00 | SEK 255.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Nov ’26 | SEK 254.00 | SEK 290.00 +14.17% | 6.45% | SEK 310.00 | SEK 255.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Oct ’26 | SEK 230.20 | SEK 294.00 +27.72% | 8.01% | SEK 325.00 | SEK 255.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Sep ’26 | n/a | SEK 326.00 0% | 4.98% | SEK 340.00 | SEK 295.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Aug ’26 | n/a | SEK 326.00 0% | 4.98% | SEK 340.00 | SEK 295.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jul ’26 | SEK 273.20 | SEK 304.00 +11.27% | 3.95% | SEK 320.00 | SEK 290.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jun ’26 | n/a | SEK 326.67 0% | 17.04% | SEK 450.00 | SEK 290.00 | n/a | 6 |
| May ’26 | SEK 229.00 | SEK 354.00 +54.59% | 15.56% | SEK 450.00 | SEK 300.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Apr ’26 | SEK 304.40 | SEK 376.67 +23.74% | 10.01% | SEK 450.00 | SEK 340.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Mar ’26 | n/a | SEK 384.17 0% | 9.92% | SEK 450.00 | SEK 340.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Feb ’26 | n/a | SEK 384.00 0% | 8.81% | SEK 445.00 | SEK 350.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jan ’26 | n/a | SEK 393.75 0% | 8.35% | SEK 445.00 | SEK 365.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Dec ’25 | SEK 342.00 | SEK 378.33 +10.62% | 4.09% | SEK 400.00 | SEK 365.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Nov ’25 | SEK 356.40 | SEK 321.25 -9.86% | 7.96% | SEK 350.00 | SEK 285.00 | SEK 254.00 | 4 |
| Oct ’25 | n/a | SEK 317.50 0% | 6.91% | SEK 340.00 | SEK 285.00 | SEK 230.20 | 4 |
| Sep ’25 | n/a | SEK 310.00 0% | 9.51% | SEK 345.00 | SEK 270.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Aug ’25 | n/a | SEK 310.00 0% | 9.51% | SEK 345.00 | SEK 270.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jul ’25 | SEK 282.40 | SEK 313.00 +10.84% | 10.13% | SEK 350.00 | SEK 270.00 | SEK 273.20 | 5 |
| Jun ’25 | SEK 315.10 | SEK 312.00 -0.98% | 9.86% | SEK 350.00 | SEK 270.00 | n/a | 5 |
| May ’25 | n/a | SEK 312.00 0% | 9.86% | SEK 350.00 | SEK 270.00 | SEK 229.00 | 5 |
| Apr ’25 | n/a | SEK 304.00 0% | 8.28% | SEK 335.00 | SEK 270.00 | SEK 304.40 | 5 |
| Mar ’25 | n/a | SEK 304.00 0% | 8.28% | SEK 335.00 | SEK 270.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Feb ’25 | n/a | SEK 291.00 0% | 8.02% | SEK 320.00 | SEK 250.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jan ’25 | n/a | SEK 300.00 0% | 9.83% | SEK 340.00 | SEK 250.00 | n/a | 5 |

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/01/25 22:40 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/01/22 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/09/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Thule Group AB (publ) is covered by 15 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| null null | ABG Sundal Collier |
| Lars Topholm | Carnegie Investment Bank AB |
| Daniel Schmidt | Danske Bank |