Thule Group AB (publ)

BATS-CHIXE:THULES Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 36.3b

Thule Group Valuation

Is THULES undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of THULES when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: THULES (SEK353.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK393.49)

Significantly Below Fair Value: THULES is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for THULES?

Key metric: As THULES is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for THULES. This is calculated by dividing THULES's market cap by their current earnings.
What is THULES's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio30.7x
EarningsSEK 1.18b
Market CapSEK 36.33b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does THULES's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for THULES vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average34.7x
GAW Games Workshop Group
25.7x3.1%UK£3.9b
CCT Character Group
9.5xn/aUK£51.8m
BWY Bellway
22.8x21.9%UK£3.0b
BRBY Burberry Group
80.8x37.2%UK£3.1b
THULES Thule Group
30.7x22.0%SEK 36.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: THULES is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.7x) compared to the peer average (34.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does THULES's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Leisure Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies6PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: THULES is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.7x) compared to the Global Leisure industry average (17.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is THULES's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

THULES PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate THULES's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst THULES forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 353.40
SEK 371.25
+5.1%
4.9%SEK 400.00SEK 350.00n/a4
Nov ’25SEK 356.40
SEK 321.25
-9.9%
8.0%SEK 350.00SEK 285.00n/a4
Oct ’25n/a
SEK 317.50
0%
6.9%SEK 340.00SEK 285.00n/a4
Sep ’25n/a
SEK 310.00
0%
9.5%SEK 345.00SEK 270.00n/a5
Aug ’25n/a
SEK 310.00
0%
9.5%SEK 345.00SEK 270.00n/a5
Jul ’25SEK 282.40
SEK 313.00
+10.8%
10.1%SEK 350.00SEK 270.00n/a5
Jun ’25SEK 315.10
SEK 312.00
-1.0%
9.9%SEK 350.00SEK 270.00n/a5
May ’25n/a
SEK 312.00
0%
9.9%SEK 350.00SEK 270.00n/a5
Apr ’25n/a
SEK 304.00
0%
8.3%SEK 335.00SEK 270.00n/a5
Mar ’25n/a
SEK 304.00
0%
8.3%SEK 335.00SEK 270.00n/a5
Feb ’25n/a
SEK 291.00
0%
8.0%SEK 320.00SEK 250.00n/a5
Jan ’25n/a
SEK 300.00
0%
9.8%SEK 340.00SEK 250.00n/a5
Dec ’24SEK 268.45
SEK 300.00
+11.8%
9.8%SEK 340.00SEK 250.00n/a5
Nov ’24n/a
SEK 332.50
0%
7.8%SEK 370.00SEK 300.00SEK 356.404
Oct ’24SEK 269.90
SEK 350.00
+29.7%
5.6%SEK 370.00SEK 320.00n/a4
Sep ’24n/a
SEK 356.25
0%
5.9%SEK 370.00SEK 320.00n/a4
Aug ’24n/a
SEK 343.75
0%
12.4%SEK 370.00SEK 270.00n/a4
Jul ’24SEK 315.50
SEK 323.75
+2.6%
9.9%SEK 350.00SEK 270.00SEK 282.404
Jun ’24n/a
SEK 305.00
0%
10.0%SEK 340.00SEK 270.00SEK 315.104
May ’24SEK 258.90
SEK 272.50
+5.3%
16.0%SEK 340.00SEK 225.00n/a4
Apr ’24SEK 228.60
SEK 242.50
+6.1%
5.2%SEK 260.00SEK 225.00n/a4
Mar ’24SEK 221.80
SEK 242.50
+9.3%
5.2%SEK 260.00SEK 225.00n/a4
Feb ’24SEK 245.45
SEK 245.00
-0.2%
5.6%SEK 260.00SEK 225.00n/a4
Jan ’24n/a
SEK 241.00
0%
7.6%SEK 265.00SEK 220.00n/a5
Dec ’23SEK 249.60
SEK 243.00
-2.6%
8.5%SEK 270.00SEK 220.00SEK 268.455
Nov ’23SEK 224.85
SEK 243.00
+8.1%
8.5%SEK 270.00SEK 220.00n/a5

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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