LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne

BATS-CHIXE:MCP Stock Report

Market Cap: €291.2b

LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton Société Européenne Valuation

Is MCP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MCP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MCP (€574) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€569.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MCP is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MCP?

Key metric: As MCP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MCP. This is calculated by dividing MCP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MCP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.9x
Earnings€13.96b
Market Cap€291.23b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MCP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MCP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average42.5x
BRBY Burberry Group
83.4x38.3%UK£3.2b
RMS Hermès International Société en commandite par actions
47.5x8.9%€211.6b
CDI Christian Dior
17xn/a€99.0b
CFR Compagnie Financière Richemont
22.2x9.1%CHF 70.0b
MCP LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton Société Européenne
20.9x6.7%€291.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MCP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the peer average (42.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MCP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies6PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MCP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (13.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MCP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MCP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.9x
Fair PE Ratio28.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MCP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MCP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€574.00
€695.91
+21.2%
8.6%€800.00€560.00n/a28
Nov ’25€612.65
€705.36
+15.1%
8.4%€800.00€560.00n/a28
Oct ’25€662.20
€767.77
+15.9%
9.5%€900.00€600.00n/a26
Sep ’25€677.50
€812.92
+20.0%
9.2%€950.00€650.00n/a26
Aug ’25€641.15
€822.88
+28.3%
9.7%€950.00€643.00n/a26
Jul ’25€713.20
€866.15
+21.4%
8.9%€1,000.00€670.00n/a26
Jun ’25€733.60
€879.50
+19.9%
8.2%€1,000.00€670.00n/a26
May ’25€773.10
€879.23
+13.7%
8.2%€1,000.00€670.00n/a26
Apr ’25€835.60
€874.15
+4.6%
8.8%€1,000.00€670.00n/a26
Mar ’25€848.00
€855.63
+0.9%
9.0%€1,000.00€670.00n/a27
Feb ’25€769.20
€839.50
+9.1%
8.1%€1,000.00€670.00n/a28
Jan ’25€735.80
€840.79
+14.3%
9.1%€1,000.00€640.00n/a28
Dec ’24€697.50
€843.93
+21.0%
9.0%€1,000.00€640.00n/a28
Nov ’24€681.30
€857.79
+25.9%
8.9%€1,000.00€640.00€612.6527
Oct ’24€719.65
€902.38
+25.4%
8.7%€1,020.00€640.00€662.2026
Sep ’24€775.00
€943.23
+21.7%
7.9%€1,025.00€640.00€677.5026
Aug ’24€832.80
€948.65
+13.9%
8.2%€1,060.00€640.00€641.1526
Jul ’24€864.55
€944.38
+9.2%
8.6%€1,060.00€640.00€713.2026
Jun ’24€806.00
€943.62
+17.1%
8.4%€1,060.00€640.00€733.6026
May ’24€868.70
€930.23
+7.1%
9.0%€1,030.00€640.00€773.1027
Apr ’24€844.60
€873.15
+3.4%
10.6%€1,000.00€590.00€835.6027
Mar ’24€791.25
€849.34
+7.3%
9.9%€1,000.00€590.00€848.0030
Feb ’24€795.05
€842.07
+5.9%
9.7%€1,000.00€590.00€769.2030
Jan ’24€690.40
€781.16
+13.1%
8.9%€910.00€590.00€735.8031
Dec ’23€721.90
€778.97
+7.9%
8.4%€910.00€590.00€697.5031
Nov ’23€649.30
€775.72
+19.5%
8.6%€910.00€590.00€681.3032

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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