adidas Valuation

Is ADSD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ADSD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ADSD (€214.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€243.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ADSD is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ADSD?

Key metric: As ADSD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ADSD. This is calculated by dividing ADSD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ADSD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio100.5x
Earnings€381.00m
Market Cap€38.28b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ADSD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ADSD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average42.7x
BRBY Burberry Group
83.4x38.3%UK£3.2b
BTRW Barratt Redrow
52.3x42.7%UK£6.0b
BKG Berkeley Group Holdings
11.1x-4.2%UK£4.4b
LULU Lululemon Athletica
23.8x7.2%US$38.9b
ADSD adidas
100.5x38.1%€38.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ADSD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (100.5x) compared to the peer average (42.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ADSD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies6PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ADSD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (100.5x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (14.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ADSD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ADSD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio100.5x
Fair PE Ratio47.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ADSD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (100.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ADSD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€214.70
€249.73
+16.3%
12.2%€285.00€160.00n/a28
Nov ’25€218.70
€249.73
+14.2%
12.2%€285.00€160.00n/a28
Oct ’25€238.15
€241.33
+1.3%
14.9%€300.00€160.00n/a29
Sep ’25€232.95
€237.77
+2.1%
15.1%€300.00€160.00n/a28
Aug ’25€230.60
€235.65
+2.2%
15.7%€300.00€160.00n/a28
Jul ’25€222.00
€224.08
+0.9%
13.5%€264.00€150.00n/a28
Jun ’25€223.70
€223.65
-0.02%
13.5%€276.00€150.00n/a28
May ’25€228.45
€222.86
-2.4%
13.5%€276.00€150.00n/a28
Apr ’25€207.23
€196.86
-5.0%
15.6%€230.00€95.00n/a28
Mar ’25€187.17
€185.29
-1.0%
16.3%€230.00€95.00n/a29
Feb ’25€172.15
€186.32
+8.2%
16.2%€230.00€95.00n/a29
Jan ’25€184.16
€186.88
+1.5%
16.2%€230.00€100.00n/a30
Dec ’24€192.09
€183.88
-4.3%
15.3%€220.00€100.00n/a30
Nov ’24€166.94
€183.28
+9.8%
17.8%€235.00€90.00€218.7030
Oct ’24€166.92
€183.29
+9.8%
18.2%€235.00€90.00€238.1529
Sep ’24n/a
€181.01
0%
18.7%€235.00€90.00€232.9530
Aug ’24€184.30
€175.05
-5.0%
19.3%€225.00€85.00€230.6029
Jul ’24€177.85
€162.98
-8.4%
19.4%€216.00€85.00€222.0028
Jun ’24€154.22
€156.45
+1.4%
20.6%€206.50€75.66€223.7030
May ’24€159.40
€147.31
-7.6%
20.7%€200.00€75.00€228.4529
Apr ’24€162.38
€143.97
-11.3%
19.7%€196.00€75.00€207.2329
Mar ’24€140.41
€135.47
-3.5%
22.2%€206.40€70.00€187.1730
Feb ’24€147.96
€138.11
-6.7%
20.4%€195.00€75.66€172.1531
Jan ’24€127.82
€133.63
+4.5%
22.0%€195.00€75.66€184.1631
Dec ’23€125.62
€133.21
+6.0%
22.2%€195.00€75.66€192.0931
Nov ’23€98.46
€132.25
+34.3%
31.0%€270.90€87.00€166.9430

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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