adidas Valuation

Is ADSD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ADSD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ADSD (€222) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€298.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ADSD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ADSD?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ADSD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA49.4x
PEG Ratio11.4x

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ADSD's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ADSD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.3x
BRBY Burberry Group
1.3x2.9%UK£4.2b
KER Kering
2.1x4.8%€40.8b
TW. Taylor Wimpey
1.5x5.9%UK£5.1b
MUL Mulberry Group
0.4xn/aUK£65.6m
ADSD adidas
1.8x7.9%€39.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ADSD is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the peer average (1.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ADSD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ADSD is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ADSD's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ADSD PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.8x
Fair PS Ratio3.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ADSD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ADSD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€222.00
€222.40
+0.2%
13.4%€276.00€150.00n/a28
May ’25€228.45
€221.61
-3.0%
13.4%€276.00€150.00n/a28
Apr ’25€207.23
€196.86
-5.0%
15.6%€230.00€95.00n/a28
Mar ’25€187.17
€185.29
-1.0%
16.3%€230.00€95.00n/a29
Feb ’25€172.15
€186.32
+8.2%
16.2%€230.00€95.00n/a29
Jan ’25€184.16
€186.88
+1.5%
16.2%€230.00€100.00n/a30
Dec ’24€192.09
€183.88
-4.3%
15.3%€220.00€100.00n/a30
Nov ’24€166.94
€183.28
+9.8%
17.8%€235.00€90.00n/a30
Oct ’24€166.92
€183.29
+9.8%
18.2%€235.00€90.00n/a29
Sep ’24n/a
€181.01
0%
18.7%€235.00€90.00n/a30
Aug ’24€184.30
€175.05
-5.0%
19.3%€225.00€85.00n/a29
Jul ’24€177.85
€162.98
-8.4%
19.4%€216.00€85.00n/a28
Jun ’24€154.22
€156.45
+1.4%
20.6%€206.50€75.66n/a30
May ’24€159.40
€147.31
-7.6%
20.7%€200.00€75.00€228.4529
Apr ’24€162.38
€143.97
-11.3%
19.7%€196.00€75.00€207.2329
Mar ’24€140.41
€135.47
-3.5%
22.2%€206.40€70.00€187.1730
Feb ’24€147.96
€138.11
-6.7%
20.4%€195.00€75.66€172.1531
Jan ’24€127.82
€133.63
+4.5%
22.0%€195.00€75.66€184.1631
Dec ’23€125.62
€133.21
+6.0%
22.2%€195.00€75.66€192.0931
Nov ’23€98.46
€132.25
+34.3%
31.0%€270.90€87.00€166.9430
Oct ’23€117.92
€195.07
+65.4%
24.8%€340.00€120.00€166.9230
Sep ’23€145.27
€203.00
+39.7%
23.1%€340.00€120.00n/a30
Aug ’23€172.84
€210.34
+21.7%
25.7%€340.00€120.00€184.3031
Jul ’23€168.02
€251.52
+49.7%
20.8%€348.00€135.78€177.8531
Jun ’23€182.43
€257.81
+41.3%
19.8%€348.00€135.78€154.2231
May ’23€188.58
€279.68
+48.3%
17.1%€350.00€135.78€159.4031

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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