Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital At Victoria (LON:VCP) Paint A Concerning Picture

AIM:VCP
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To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Having said that, from a first glance at Victoria (LON:VCP) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Victoria, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.047 = UK£71m ÷ (UK£2.0b - UK£501m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to October 2022).

So, Victoria has an ROCE of 4.7%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Consumer Durables industry average of 12%.

View our latest analysis for Victoria

roce
AIM:VCP Return on Capital Employed July 24th 2023

In the above chart we have measured Victoria's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

What Can We Tell From Victoria's ROCE Trend?

We weren't thrilled with the trend because Victoria's ROCE has reduced by 63% over the last five years, while the business employed 497% more capital. That being said, Victoria raised some capital prior to their latest results being released, so that could partly explain the increase in capital employed. The funds raised likely haven't been put to work yet so it's worth watching what happens in the future with Victoria's earnings and if they change as a result from the capital raise.

Our Take On Victoria's ROCE

While returns have fallen for Victoria in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. And there could be an opportunity here if other metrics look good too, because the stock has declined 14% in the last five years. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.

If you'd like to know more about Victoria, we've spotted 4 warning signs, and 1 of them is potentially serious.

While Victoria isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.