Tandem Group plc (LON:TND), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the AIM, rising to highs of UK£6.60 and falling to the lows of UK£5.10. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Tandem Group's current trading price of UK£5.12 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Tandem Group’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
View our latest analysis for Tandem Group
What's the opportunity in Tandem Group?
The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Tandem Group’s ratio of 6.9x is trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 10.83x, which means if you buy Tandem Group today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe Tandem Group should be trading in this range, then there isn’t much room for the share price to grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Tandem Group’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.
What kind of growth will Tandem Group generate?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Tandem Group, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -0.5%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? TND seems priced close to industry peers right now, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock beneficial for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on TND, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on TND for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. This means there’s less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help crystallize your views on TND should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio.
So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Our analysis shows 6 warning signs for Tandem Group (2 make us uncomfortable!) and we strongly recommend you look at them before investing.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About AIM:TND
Tandem Group
Designs, develops, distributes, and retails of sports, leisure, and mobility products in the United Kingdom.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.