Stock Analysis

Is Mulberry Group (LON:MUL) Using Too Much Debt?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Mulberry Group plc (LON:MUL) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Mulberry Group

How Much Debt Does Mulberry Group Carry?

As you can see below, Mulberry Group had UK£4.92m of debt at September 2020, down from UK£9.58m a year prior. But it also has UK£8.60m in cash to offset that, meaning it has UK£3.67m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
AIM:MUL Debt to Equity History December 11th 2020

A Look At Mulberry Group's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Mulberry Group had liabilities of UK£45.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of UK£71.9m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of UK£8.60m and UK£11.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by UK£96.4m.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of UK£139.7m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Mulberry Group's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Mulberry Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Mulberry Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Mulberry Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to UK£129m, which is a fall of 22%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

So How Risky Is Mulberry Group?

While Mulberry Group lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow UK£14m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. With revenue growth uninspiring, we'd really need to see some positive EBIT before mustering much enthusiasm for this business. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Mulberry Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is potentially serious...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

If you’re looking to trade Mulberry Group, open an account with the lowest-cost* platform trusted by professionals, Interactive Brokers. Their clients from over 200 countries and territories trade stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds and funds worldwide from a single integrated account. Promoted


The New Payments ETF Is Live on NASDAQ:

Money is moving to real-time rails, and a newly listed ETF now gives investors direct exposure. Fast settlement. Institutional custody. Simple access.

Explore how this launch could reshape portfolios

Sponsored Content

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

About AIM:MUL

Mulberry Group

Designs and manufactures fashion accessories and clothing in the United Kingdom, North America, Asia Pacific, and internationally.

Slight risk and overvalued.

Weekly Picks

AL
RKLB logo
AlexLovell on Rocket Lab ·

Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

Fair Value:US$16.25334.0% overvalued
40 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
14 users have liked this narrative
AG
Agricola
EXN logo
Agricola on Excellon Resources ·

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Fair Value:CA$31.898.5% undervalued
47 users have followed this narrative
7 users have commented on this narrative
15 users have liked this narrative
FU
FundamentallySarcastic
CCP logo
FundamentallySarcastic on Credit Corp Group ·

Moderation and Stabilisation: HOLD: Fair Price based on a 4-year Cycle is $12.08

Fair Value:AU$12.6412.1% overvalued
7 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

YI
ABNB logo
yiannisz on Airbnb ·

Airbnb Stock: Platform Growth in a World of Saturation and Scrutiny

Fair Value:US$159.715.3% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
YI
ADBE logo
yiannisz on Adobe ·

Adobe Stock: AI-Fueled ARR Growth Pushes Guidance Higher, But Cost Pressures Loom

Fair Value:US$391.259.0% undervalued
8 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
2 users have liked this narrative
YI
TRI logo
yiannisz on Thomson Reuters ·

Thomson Reuters Stock: When Legal Intelligence Becomes Mission-Critical Infrastructure

Fair Value:CA$201.979.9% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8686.4% undervalued
82 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
23 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3927.7% undervalued
979 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
26 users have liked this narrative
RO
RobertoAllende
NVDA logo
RobertoAllende on NVIDIA ·

The AI Infrastructure Giant Grows Into Its Valuation

Fair Value:US$345.0747.5% undervalued
43 users have followed this narrative
28 users have commented on this narrative
24 users have liked this narrative