Stock Analysis

PageGroup (LON:PAGE) Might Become A Compounding Machine

LSE:PAGE
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If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. That's why when we briefly looked at PageGroup's (LON:PAGE) ROCE trend, we were very happy with what we saw.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for PageGroup, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.46 = UK£219m ÷ (UK£804m - UK£322m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).

So, PageGroup has an ROCE of 46%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Professional Services industry average of 15%.

Check out the opportunities and risks within the GB Professional Services industry.

roce
LSE:PAGE Return on Capital Employed December 1st 2022

Above you can see how the current ROCE for PageGroup compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering PageGroup here for free.

The Trend Of ROCE

PageGroup deserves to be commended in regards to it's returns. The company has employed 70% more capital in the last five years, and the returns on that capital have remained stable at 46%. Now considering ROCE is an attractive 46%, this combination is actually pretty appealing because it means the business can consistently put money to work and generate these high returns. If PageGroup can keep this up, we'd be very optimistic about its future.

On a side note, PageGroup's current liabilities are still rather high at 40% of total assets. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.

What We Can Learn From PageGroup's ROCE

In short, we'd argue PageGroup has the makings of a multi-bagger since its been able to compound its capital at very profitable rates of return. However, over the last five years, the stock has only delivered a 38% return to shareholders who held over that period. So because of the trends we're seeing, we'd recommend looking further into this stock to see if it has the makings of a multi-bagger.

PageGroup does have some risks, we noticed 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

High returns are a key ingredient to strong performance, so check out our free list ofstocks earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.