Experian plc

BATS-CHIXE:EXPNL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£34.9b

Experian Valuation

Is EXPNL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EXPNL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EXPNL (£38.24) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£41.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EXPNL is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EXPNL?

Key metric: As EXPNL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EXPNL. This is calculated by dividing EXPNL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EXPNL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio37x
EarningsUS$1.18b
Market CapUS$43.68b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EXPNL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EXPNL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.6x
REL RELX
36.3x8.1%UK£69.1b
ITRK Intertek Group
23.6x10.2%UK£7.3b
DATA GlobalData
49.1x27.7%UK£1.6b
DWF DWF Group
25.4x47.9%UK£316.4m
EXPNL Experian
37x12.7%UK£34.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EXPNL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37x) compared to the peer average (36.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EXPNL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Professional Services Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
IBPO iEnergizer
1.7xn/aUS$140.06m
TEK Tekcapital
1.5xn/aUS$20.79m
No more companies available in this PE range
No. of Companies4PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EXPNL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37x) compared to the UK Professional Services industry average (23.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EXPNL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EXPNL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio37x
Fair PE Ratio36.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EXPNL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EXPNL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£38.24
UK£44.34
+16.0%
8.7%UK£52.45UK£38.18n/a15
Nov ’25UK£38.34
UK£43.99
+14.7%
9.4%UK£53.93UK£37.28n/a15
Oct ’25UK£39.50
UK£41.08
+4.0%
9.7%UK£52.47UK£34.14n/a15
Sep ’25UK£36.94
UK£40.17
+8.8%
12.2%UK£48.41UK£24.91n/a15
Aug ’25UK£35.86
UK£39.99
+11.5%
11.9%UK£48.14UK£24.77n/a16
Jul ’25UK£36.50
UK£39.04
+7.0%
11.9%UK£44.15UK£25.05n/a16
Jun ’25UK£36.08
UK£38.08
+5.5%
14.1%UK£43.61UK£24.94n/a17
May ’25UK£32.21
UK£36.27
+12.6%
13.6%UK£43.20UK£25.35n/a17
Apr ’25UK£34.63
UK£35.47
+2.4%
14.0%UK£42.91UK£25.24n/a16
Mar ’25UK£33.70
UK£33.79
+0.3%
14.7%UK£42.54UK£25.02n/a14
Feb ’25UK£33.20
UK£32.89
-0.9%
14.1%UK£42.45UK£24.96n/a15
Jan ’25UK£32.02
UK£31.54
-1.5%
13.6%UK£39.66UK£24.24n/a15
Dec ’24UK£29.34
UK£31.30
+6.7%
13.2%UK£39.72UK£24.28n/a15
Nov ’24UK£24.88
UK£33.18
+33.3%
13.6%UK£42.62UK£26.43UK£38.3414
Oct ’24UK£26.99
UK£33.29
+23.4%
13.6%UK£42.37UK£26.28UK£39.5014
Sep ’24UK£27.65
UK£32.59
+17.9%
12.9%UK£41.11UK£25.50UK£36.9415
Aug ’24UK£29.82
UK£32.08
+7.6%
12.3%UK£40.24UK£24.96UK£35.8616
Jul ’24UK£30.16
UK£31.02
+2.9%
12.1%UK£37.28UK£24.49UK£36.5016
Jun ’24UK£28.45
UK£31.57
+11.0%
11.9%UK£37.84UK£24.86UK£36.0817
May ’24UK£28.08
UK£31.41
+11.8%
12.6%UK£38.59UK£24.42UK£32.2116
Apr ’24UK£26.67
UK£32.38
+21.4%
11.8%UK£39.46UK£24.97UK£34.6316
Mar ’24UK£28.08
UK£33.13
+18.0%
11.6%UK£40.26UK£25.48UK£33.7016
Feb ’24UK£29.76
UK£32.51
+9.2%
11.9%UK£39.34UK£24.90UK£33.2016
Jan ’24UK£28.24
UK£30.56
+8.2%
18.2%UK£38.64UK£14.08UK£32.0216
Dec ’23UK£29.50
UK£31.24
+5.9%
18.0%UK£38.58UK£14.45UK£29.3416
Nov ’23UK£27.02
UK£31.64
+17.1%
17.1%UK£37.95UK£15.05UK£24.8816

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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