Experian plc

BATS-CHIXE:EXPNL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£31.7b

Experian Valuation

Is EXPNL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EXPNL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EXPNL (£34.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£41.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EXPNL is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EXPNL?

Key metric: As EXPNL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EXPNL. This is calculated by dividing EXPNL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EXPNL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio33.7x
EarningsUS$1.18b
Market CapUS$39.71b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EXPNL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EXPNL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.7x
REL RELX
35.5x8.1%UK£67.1b
ITRK Intertek Group
24.5x12.6%UK£7.6b
DATA GlobalData
44.7x27.7%UK£1.5b
RWS RWS Holdings
14.2x8.3%UK£676.2m
EXPNL Experian
33.7x12.7%UK£31.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EXPNL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.7x) compared to the peer average (29.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EXPNL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Professional Services Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
IBPO iEnergizer
1.7xn/aUS$140.06m
TEK Tekcapital
1.6xn/aUS$21.71m
No more companies available in this PE range
No. of Companies4PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EXPNL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.7x) compared to the UK Professional Services industry average (23.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EXPNL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EXPNL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio33.7x
Fair PE Ratio36.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EXPNL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EXPNL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£34.65
UK£43.80
+26.4%
8.0%UK£51.71UK£37.64n/a15
Dec ’25UK£37.52
UK£43.32
+15.5%
8.1%UK£51.56UK£37.53n/a15
Nov ’25UK£38.34
UK£43.98
+14.7%
9.4%UK£53.93UK£37.28n/a15
Oct ’25UK£39.50
UK£41.08
+4.0%
9.7%UK£52.47UK£34.14n/a15
Sep ’25UK£36.94
UK£40.17
+8.7%
12.2%UK£48.41UK£24.91n/a15
Aug ’25UK£35.86
UK£39.99
+11.5%
11.9%UK£48.14UK£24.77n/a16
Jul ’25UK£36.50
UK£39.04
+7.0%
11.9%UK£44.15UK£25.05n/a16
Jun ’25UK£36.08
UK£38.08
+5.5%
14.1%UK£43.61UK£24.94n/a17
May ’25UK£32.21
UK£36.27
+12.6%
13.6%UK£43.20UK£25.35n/a17
Apr ’25UK£34.63
UK£35.47
+2.4%
14.0%UK£42.91UK£25.24n/a16
Mar ’25UK£33.70
UK£33.79
+0.3%
14.7%UK£42.54UK£25.02n/a14
Feb ’25UK£33.20
UK£32.89
-0.9%
14.1%UK£42.45UK£24.96n/a15
Jan ’25UK£32.02
UK£31.54
-1.5%
13.6%UK£39.66UK£24.24n/a15
Dec ’24UK£29.34
UK£31.30
+6.7%
13.2%UK£39.72UK£24.28UK£37.5215
Nov ’24UK£24.88
UK£33.18
+33.3%
13.6%UK£42.62UK£26.43UK£38.3414
Oct ’24UK£26.99
UK£33.29
+23.4%
13.6%UK£42.37UK£26.28UK£39.5014
Sep ’24UK£27.65
UK£32.59
+17.9%
12.9%UK£41.11UK£25.50UK£36.9415
Aug ’24UK£29.82
UK£32.08
+7.6%
12.3%UK£40.24UK£24.96UK£35.8616
Jul ’24UK£30.16
UK£31.02
+2.9%
12.1%UK£37.28UK£24.49UK£36.5016
Jun ’24UK£28.45
UK£31.57
+11.0%
11.9%UK£37.84UK£24.86UK£36.0817
May ’24UK£28.08
UK£31.41
+11.8%
12.6%UK£38.59UK£24.42UK£32.2116
Apr ’24UK£26.67
UK£32.38
+21.4%
11.8%UK£39.46UK£24.97UK£34.6316
Mar ’24UK£28.08
UK£33.13
+18.0%
11.6%UK£40.26UK£25.48UK£33.7016
Feb ’24UK£29.76
UK£32.51
+9.2%
11.9%UK£39.34UK£24.90UK£33.2016
Jan ’24UK£28.24
UK£30.56
+8.2%
18.2%UK£38.64UK£14.08UK£32.0216
Dec ’23UK£29.50
UK£31.24
+5.9%
18.0%UK£38.58UK£14.45UK£29.3416

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/27 12:47
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Experian plc is covered by 43 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Daniel LebenBaird
Paul Daniel SullivanBarclays
James RosenthalBarclays