Stock Analysis

Positive Sentiment Still Eludes Inspired Plc (LON:INSE) Following 27% Share Price Slump

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AIM:INSE

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Inspired Plc (LON:INSE) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 36% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Inspired's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Commercial Services industry in the United Kingdom, where the median P/S ratio is around 1x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for Inspired

AIM:INSE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 14th 2024

What Does Inspired's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Inspired has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to lift, which has kept the P/S from declining. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Inspired will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Inspired?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Inspired's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 6.7%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 84% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 29% as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 3.3%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that Inspired's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

Following Inspired's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Looking at Inspired's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Inspired has 5 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Inspired's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.