What Does Travis Perkins plc's (LON:TPK) Share Price Indicate?

While Travis Perkins plc (LON:TPK) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the LSE. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s examine Travis Perkins’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

Check out our latest analysis for Travis Perkins

What is Travis Perkins worth?

According to my valuation model, Travis Perkins seems to be fairly priced at around 4.46% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Travis Perkins today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth £15.42, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Travis Perkins’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What kind of growth will Travis Perkins generate?

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Travis Perkins' earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 57%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? TPK’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on TPK, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you'd like to know more about Travis Perkins as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that Travis Perkins has 2 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore them.

If you are no longer interested in Travis Perkins, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.