Stock Analysis

Morgan Sindall Group's (LON:MGNS) 33% CAGR outpaced the company's earnings growth over the same five-year period

The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. One great example is Morgan Sindall Group plc (LON:MGNS) which saw its share price drive 227% higher over five years. We note the stock price is up 5.7% in the last seven days.

The past week has proven to be lucrative for Morgan Sindall Group investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During five years of share price growth, Morgan Sindall Group achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 22% per year. So the EPS growth rate is rather close to the annualized share price gain of 27% per year. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
LSE:MGNS Earnings Per Share Growth November 27th 2025

We know that Morgan Sindall Group has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Morgan Sindall Group will grow revenue in the future.

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What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Morgan Sindall Group, it has a TSR of 308% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Morgan Sindall Group has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 27% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. Having said that, the five-year TSR of 33% a year, is even better. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Morgan Sindall Group better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Morgan Sindall Group (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .

But note: Morgan Sindall Group may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on British exchanges.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About LSE:MGNS

Morgan Sindall Group

Operates as a construction and regeneration company in the United Kingdom.

Outstanding track record with flawless balance sheet and pays a dividend.

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