Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Costain Group PLC (LON:COST) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Costain Group
How Much Debt Does Costain Group Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Costain Group had UK£39.4m of debt in December 2021, down from UK£46.8m, one year before. But it also has UK£159.4m in cash to offset that, meaning it has UK£120.0m net cash.
How Healthy Is Costain Group's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Costain Group had liabilities of UK£281.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of UK£52.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of UK£159.4m as well as receivables valued at UK£165.3m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total UK£8.70m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Of course, Costain Group has a market capitalization of UK£96.3m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Costain Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Costain Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Over 12 months, Costain Group reported revenue of UK£1.1b, which is a gain of 16%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
So How Risky Is Costain Group?
While Costain Group lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow UK£27m. So although it is loss-making, it doesn't seem to have too much near-term balance sheet risk, keeping in mind the net cash. With revenue growth uninspiring, we'd really need to see some positive EBIT before mustering much enthusiasm for this business. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Costain Group you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About LSE:COST
Costain Group
Provides smart infrastructure solutions for the transportation, energy, water, and defense markets in the United Kingdom.
Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.