BAE Systems plc

LSE:BA. Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£34.9b

BAE Systems Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

BAE Systems is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 8% and 8.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 8.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 18.3% in 3 years.

Key information

8.0%

Earnings growth rate

8.8%

EPS growth rate

Aerospace & Defense earnings growth22.6%
Revenue growth rate8.4%
Future return on equity18.3%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated17 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of BAE Systems plc (LON:BA.)

Nov 20
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of BAE Systems plc (LON:BA.)

BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Will Pay A Dividend Of £0.124

Oct 15
BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Will Pay A Dividend Of £0.124

Does BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Oct 12
Does BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of £0.124

Sep 24
BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of £0.124

BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of £0.124

Sep 10
BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of £0.124

BAE Systems plc (LON:BA.) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Sep 03
BAE Systems plc (LON:BA.) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Will Pay A Dividend Of £0.124

Aug 18
BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Will Pay A Dividend Of £0.124

BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Will Pay A Dividend Of £0.124

Aug 04
BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Will Pay A Dividend Of £0.124

Here's Why BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Jul 15
Here's Why BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Calculating The Fair Value Of BAE Systems plc (LON:BA.)

Jun 27
Calculating The Fair Value Of BAE Systems plc (LON:BA.)

There's Reason For Concern Over BAE Systems plc's (LON:BA.) Price

May 04
There's Reason For Concern Over BAE Systems plc's (LON:BA.) Price

BAE Systems' (LON:BA.) Dividend Will Be Increased To £0.185

Apr 16
BAE Systems' (LON:BA.) Dividend Will Be Increased To £0.185

BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

Apr 02
BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

Here's Why BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Mar 25
Here's Why BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Is Increasing Its Dividend To £0.185

Mar 09
BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Is Increasing Its Dividend To £0.185

BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Is Increasing Its Dividend To £0.185

Feb 24
BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Is Increasing Its Dividend To £0.185

Calculating The Fair Value Of BAE Systems plc (LON:BA.)

Jan 16
Calculating The Fair Value Of BAE Systems plc (LON:BA.)

BAE Systems plc's (LON:BA.) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

Dec 25
BAE Systems plc's (LON:BA.) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

LSE:BA. - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (GBP Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202632,2062,3282,1413,43215
12/31/202530,3752,1061,8133,12016
12/31/202428,1911,9341,5512,80716
6/30/202424,5581,8401,9943,033N/A
3/31/202423,8181,8492,3993,397N/A
12/31/202323,0781,8572,8033,760N/A
9/30/202322,7971,8992,9183,795N/A
6/30/202322,5161,9413,0313,830N/A
3/31/202321,8871,7662,5893,335N/A
12/31/202221,2581,5912,1462,839N/A
9/30/202220,5901,4821,8802,578N/A
6/30/202219,9211,3731,6142,317N/A
3/31/202219,7211,5661,7252,382N/A
12/31/202119,5211,7581,8352,447N/A
9/30/202119,4791,7631,9462,482N/A
6/30/202119,4361,7672,0562,516N/A
3/31/202119,3571,5331,3731,841N/A
12/31/202019,2771,2996891,166N/A
9/30/202019,0441,2566611,134N/A
6/30/202018,8111,2136321,102N/A
3/31/202018,5581,3458801,350N/A
12/31/201918,3051,4761,1281,597N/A
9/30/201917,8201,4009941,481N/A
6/30/201917,3341,3248601,365N/A
3/31/201917,0781,1627821,283N/A
12/31/201816,8211,0007031,200N/A
9/30/201816,6468656991,180N/A
6/30/201816,4707296941,159N/A
3/31/201816,847778N/A1,528N/A
12/31/201717,224827N/A1,897N/A
9/30/201717,826951N/A1,695N/A
6/30/201718,4271,074N/A1,493N/A
3/31/201718,109994N/A1,361N/A
12/31/201617,790913N/A1,229N/A
9/30/201617,427925N/A1,265N/A
6/30/201617,064936N/A1,300N/A
3/31/201616,926927N/A1,054N/A
12/31/201516,787918N/A808N/A
9/30/201516,548810N/A619N/A
6/30/201516,309701N/A430N/A
3/31/201515,870721N/A550N/A
12/31/201415,430740N/A669N/A
9/30/201415,713463N/A647N/A
6/30/201415,995186N/A624N/A
3/31/201416,430177N/A257N/A
12/31/201316,864168N/A-110N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: BA.'s forecast earnings growth (8% per year) is above the savings rate (2.1%).

Earnings vs Market: BA.'s earnings (8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the UK market (14.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: BA.'s earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: BA.'s revenue (8.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the UK market (3.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: BA.'s revenue (8.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: BA.'s Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (18.3%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 19:27
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

BAE Systems plc is covered by 53 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Pierre-Yves GauthierAlphaValue
Guy BrownArden Partners Plc.
Joseph CampbellBarclays