IMCD Valuation

Is 0QVU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0QVU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0QVU (€140.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€168.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0QVU is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0QVU?

Key metric: As 0QVU is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0QVU. This is calculated by dividing 0QVU's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0QVU's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio29.4x
Earnings€280.84m
Market Cap€8.41b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0QVU's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0QVU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.4x
DPLM Diploma
43.8x13.9%UK£5.7b
BNZL Bunzl
22.2x7.1%UK£10.9b
HWDN Howden Joinery Group
16.9x6.0%UK£4.3b
RS1 RS Group
18.8x16.5%UK£3.2b
0QVU IMCD
29.4x8.6%€8.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0QVU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.4x) compared to the peer average (25.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0QVU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Trade Distributors Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0QVU 29.4xIndustry Avg. 14.6xNo. of Companies11PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0QVU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.4x) compared to the European Trade Distributors industry average (14.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0QVU's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0QVU PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29.4x
Fair PE Ratio20.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0QVU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0QVU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€140.65
€161.80
+15.0%
13.9%€205.00€125.00n/a15
Dec ’25€141.58
€160.80
+13.6%
14.9%€205.00€120.00n/a15
Nov ’25€146.28
€159.53
+9.1%
15.1%€205.00€120.00n/a15
Oct ’25€154.12
€159.87
+3.7%
15.3%€205.00€120.00n/a15
Sep ’25€147.83
€157.69
+6.7%
15.6%€205.00€120.00n/a15
Aug ’25€133.15
€155.95
+17.1%
15.2%€190.00€116.00n/a15
Jul ’25€130.32
€157.62
+20.9%
14.8%€190.00€116.00n/a15
Jun ’25€140.05
€157.62
+12.5%
14.8%€190.00€116.00n/a15
May ’25€143.33
€158.23
+10.4%
15.4%€200.00€116.00n/a15
Apr ’25€163.37
€157.36
-3.7%
16.0%€200.00€116.00n/a15
Mar ’25€151.40
€145.36
-4.0%
13.3%€178.00€116.00n/a15
Feb ’25€143.56
€144.76
+0.8%
13.0%€178.00€116.00n/a15
Jan ’25€157.46
€143.59
-8.8%
11.8%€175.00€116.00€141.4815
Dec ’24€140.91
€143.59
+1.9%
11.8%€175.00€116.00€141.5815
Nov ’24€113.61
€143.30
+26.1%
11.8%€175.00€115.00€146.2815
Oct ’24€120.23
€147.77
+22.9%
13.4%€185.00€116.00€154.1215
Sep ’24€126.79
€152.83
+20.5%
12.7%€185.00€116.00€147.8315
Aug ’24€136.03
€160.38
+17.9%
15.1%€200.00€116.00€133.1513
Jul ’24€131.49
€161.54
+22.9%
15.2%€200.00€116.00€130.3213
Jun ’24€141.58
€161.92
+14.4%
15.5%€205.00€116.00€140.0513
May ’24€135.85
€162.75
+19.8%
16.9%€210.00€116.00€143.3312
Apr ’24€150.17
€161.67
+7.7%
17.6%€210.00€116.00€163.3712
Mar ’24€147.26
€157.31
+6.8%
17.6%€200.00€116.00€151.4013
Feb ’24€146.31
€157.31
+7.5%
17.6%€200.00€116.00€143.5613
Jan ’24€136.35
€157.69
+15.7%
17.4%€200.00€116.00€157.4613

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/03 19:32
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/03 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

IMCD N.V. is covered by 25 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mutlu GundoganABN AMRO Bank N.V.
James StewartBarclays
Carl RaynsfordBerenberg