Metso Oyj Valuation

Is 0MGI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0MGI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0MGI (€8.31) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€11.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0MGI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0MGI?

Key metric: As 0MGI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0MGI. This is calculated by dividing 0MGI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0MGI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.4x
Earnings€513.00m
Market Cap€6.88b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0MGI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0MGI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.5x
WEIR Weir Group
25.9x19.0%UK£5.7b
SPX Spirax Group
26.6x9.0%UK£5.1b
SOM Somero Enterprises
7.8xn/aUK£146.6m
IMI IMI
17.7x12.0%UK£4.5b
0MGI Metso Oyj
13.4x11.3%€6.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0MGI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the peer average (19.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0MGI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0MGI 13.4xIndustry Avg. 17.5xNo. of Companies30PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0MGI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0MGI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0MGI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.4x
Fair PE Ratio21.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0MGI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0MGI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€8.31
€10.99
+32.2%
11.3%€13.30€8.80n/a17
Nov ’25€8.75
€11.11
+27.0%
12.7%€14.00€8.80n/a17
Oct ’25€9.45
€11.56
+22.4%
12.3%€14.00€9.00n/a17
Sep ’25€9.17
€11.79
+28.6%
10.8%€14.00€9.40n/a16
Aug ’25€9.30
€11.83
+27.2%
12.0%€15.00€9.40n/a16
Jul ’25€10.09
€12.14
+20.3%
12.2%€15.20€9.40n/a16
Jun ’25€11.19
€11.85
+5.9%
12.6%€15.20€9.40n/a16
May ’25€10.68
€11.84
+10.9%
12.6%€15.20€9.40n/a16
Apr ’25€11.00
€11.29
+2.6%
11.3%€13.00€8.90n/a15
Mar ’25€9.93
€11.20
+12.8%
10.6%€12.50€8.90n/a15
Feb ’25€9.51
€10.72
+12.7%
10.7%€12.50€8.40n/a15
Jan ’25€9.20
€10.71
+16.5%
9.6%€12.50€8.40n/a15
Dec ’24€9.16
€11.06
+20.7%
6.3%€12.50€10.00n/a15
Nov ’24€8.08
€11.13
+37.6%
7.4%€13.00€10.00€8.7515
Oct ’24€9.96
€12.24
+22.9%
9.0%€14.25€10.00€9.4516
Sep ’24€10.73
€12.35
+15.1%
8.6%€14.25€10.00€9.1715
Aug ’24€10.31
€12.19
+18.3%
10.2%€14.25€9.10€9.3016
Jul ’24€11.05
€12.37
+12.0%
11.6%€14.25€9.10€10.0916
Jun ’24€10.16
€12.10
+19.1%
12.3%€14.00€9.10€11.1916
May ’24€10.01
€11.34
+13.4%
11.5%€13.60€9.10€10.6816
Apr ’24€10.04
€11.22
+11.7%
11.5%€13.60€9.10€11.0016
Mar ’24€10.05
€11.19
+11.4%
11.7%€13.60€9.10€9.9316
Feb ’24€10.47
€10.83
+3.5%
10.2%€12.80€8.80€9.5115
Jan ’24€9.76
€10.09
+3.3%
7.6%€11.50€8.80€9.2014
Dec ’23€9.05
€9.85
+8.9%
9.1%€11.50€8.50€9.1614
Nov ’23€8.03
€9.78
+21.8%
8.2%€11.00€8.50€8.0814

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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