Cargotec Valuation

Is 0MGH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0MGH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0MGH (€53.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€61.74)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0MGH is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0MGH?

Key metric: As 0MGH is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0MGH. This is calculated by dividing 0MGH's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0MGH's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.3x
Earnings€334.40m
Market Cap€3.45b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0MGH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0MGH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.2x
ROR Rotork
23.5x8.9%UK£2.8b
IMI IMI
17.6x12.0%UK£4.5b
SPX Spirax Group
26.1x9.0%UK£5.0b
WEIR Weir Group
25.4x19.0%UK£5.6b
0MGH Cargotec
10.3x-5.5%€3.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0MGH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the peer average (23.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0MGH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0MGH 10.3xIndustry Avg. 17.6xNo. of Companies30PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0MGH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0MGH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0MGH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.3x
Fair PE Ratio15.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0MGH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0MGH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€53.90
€55.00
+2.0%
7.0%€60.00€51.00n/a5
Nov ’25€55.85
€53.20
-4.7%
6.9%€60.00€50.00n/a5
Oct ’25€52.51
€48.40
-7.8%
6.2%€53.00€44.00n/a5
Sep ’25€47.57
€48.40
+1.7%
6.2%€53.00€44.00n/a5
Aug ’25€46.14
€64.25
+39.3%
29.6%€85.00€39.00n/a4
Jul ’25€47.30
€74.00
+56.4%
27.4%€88.00€39.00n/a4
Jun ’25€76.50
€78.25
+2.3%
10.8%€88.00€68.00n/a4
May ’25€72.55
€74.20
+2.3%
13.9%€88.00€62.00n/a5
Apr ’25€64.48
€68.80
+6.7%
7.1%€77.00€62.00n/a5
Mar ’25€62.24
€66.40
+6.7%
4.1%€70.00€62.00n/a5
Feb ’25€55.75
€63.20
+13.4%
5.4%€66.00€57.00n/a5
Jan ’25€52.68
€55.00
+4.4%
3.4%€57.00€52.00n/a5
Dec ’24€46.41
€53.40
+15.1%
5.1%€57.00€49.00n/a5
Nov ’24€36.91
€54.60
+47.9%
7.6%€61.00€49.00€55.855
Oct ’24€39.67
€57.80
+45.7%
4.4%€61.00€54.00€52.515
Sep ’24€43.64
€58.25
+33.5%
4.6%€61.00€54.00€47.574
Aug ’24€43.07
€58.25
+35.2%
4.6%€61.00€54.00€46.144
Jul ’24€50.36
€65.75
+30.6%
13.1%€80.00€58.00€47.304
Jun ’24€50.40
€62.20
+23.4%
16.8%€80.00€48.00€76.505
May ’24€49.95
€55.20
+10.5%
17.4%€65.00€37.00€72.555
Apr ’24€44.78
€50.67
+13.1%
13.8%€57.00€37.00€64.486
Mar ’24€49.02
€50.67
+3.4%
13.8%€57.00€37.00€62.246
Feb ’24€46.67
€47.67
+2.1%
15.2%€57.00€37.00€55.756
Jan ’24€41.71
€43.17
+3.5%
9.4%€48.00€37.00€52.686
Dec ’23€40.22
€43.17
+7.3%
9.4%€48.00€37.00€46.416
Nov ’23€38.54
€42.00
+9.0%
14.6%€48.00€30.00€36.916

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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