Smiths Group Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of SMINL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

SMINL (£17.65) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (£30.17)

Is SMINL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SMINL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SMINL (£17.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£30.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SMINL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SMINL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for SMINL. This is calculated by dividing SMINL's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is SMINL's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	UK£6.04b

SMINL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	11.7x
PEG Ratio	1.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SMINL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SMINL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	30.6x
DCC DCC	15.8x	9.5%	UK£5.2b
SPX Spirax Group	29.3x	9.9%	UK£5.6b
WEIR Weir Group	25.7x	19.5%	UK£5.7b
DPLM Diploma	51.7x	16.7%	UK£6.0b
SMINL Smiths Group	24.2x	15.1%	UK£6.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SMINL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.2x) compared to the peer average (22.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SMINL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Industrials Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	8.5%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	8.5%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SMINL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.2x) compared to the European Industrials industry average (16.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SMINL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SMINL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	24.2x
Fair PE Ratio	24.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SMINL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SMINL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	UK£17.65	UK£19.92 +12.9%	8.7%	UK£22.50	UK£17.25	n/a	13
Sep ’25	UK£18.04	UK£20.05 +11.2%	8.2%	UK£22.50	UK£17.50	n/a	14
Aug ’25	UK£17.47	UK£20.17 +15.5%	8.2%	UK£22.50	UK£17.50	n/a	13
Jul ’25	UK£17.02	UK£20.05 +17.8%	7.9%	UK£22.50	UK£17.50	n/a	13
Jun ’25	UK£17.22	UK£20.05 +16.4%	7.9%	UK£22.50	UK£17.50	n/a	13
May ’25	UK£16.05	UK£19.93 +24.2%	7.7%	UK£22.50	UK£17.50	n/a	13
Apr ’25	UK£16.41	UK£19.86 +21.1%	8.1%	UK£22.50	UK£17.50	n/a	13
Mar ’25	UK£16.20	UK£19.78 +22.1%	8.1%	UK£22.40	UK£17.50	n/a	13
Feb ’25	UK£16.29	UK£19.70 +20.9%	8.2%	UK£22.40	UK£17.50	n/a	13
Jan ’25	UK£17.66	UK£19.25 +9.0%	7.5%	UK£22.20	UK£17.00	n/a	14
Dec ’24	UK£16.71	UK£19.24 +15.2%	7.7%	UK£22.20	UK£17.00	n/a	13
Nov ’24	UK£16.11	UK£19.24 +19.4%	7.5%	UK£21.80	UK£17.00	n/a	13
Oct ’24	UK£16.25	UK£18.99 +16.9%	7.1%	UK£21.80	UK£17.00	n/a	11
Sep ’24	UK£16.36	UK£18.83 +15.1%	8.6%	UK£22.40	UK£15.80	UK£18.04	12
Aug ’24	UK£16.94	UK£18.83 +11.2%	8.6%	UK£22.40	UK£15.80	UK£17.47	12
Jul ’24	UK£16.53	UK£18.63 +12.7%	9.4%	UK£22.40	UK£15.80	UK£17.02	12
Jun ’24	UK£16.14	UK£18.63 +15.5%	9.8%	UK£22.40	UK£15.80	UK£17.22	11
May ’24	UK£16.78	UK£17.80 +6.1%	14.8%	UK£22.40	UK£11.50	UK£16.05	11
Apr ’24	UK£17.17	UK£17.75 +3.4%	14.5%	UK£22.40	UK£11.50	UK£16.41	11
Mar ’24	UK£17.90	UK£17.51 -2.2%	14.5%	UK£22.50	UK£11.50	UK£16.20	12
Feb ’24	UK£17.67	UK£16.99 -3.9%	12.6%	UK£19.80	UK£11.50	UK£16.29	11
Jan ’24	UK£16.05	UK£16.47 +2.7%	10.8%	UK£18.00	UK£11.50	UK£17.66	11
Dec ’23	UK£15.98	UK£16.47 +3.1%	10.8%	UK£18.00	UK£11.50	UK£16.71	11
Nov ’23	UK£15.60	UK£16.59 +6.4%	12.0%	UK£18.25	UK£11.00	UK£16.11	11
Oct ’23	UK£15.18	UK£16.60 +9.4%	12.2%	UK£18.25	UK£11.00	UK£16.25	11
Sep ’23	UK£14.40	UK£16.63 +15.5%	11.7%	UK£18.25	UK£11.00	UK£16.36	12

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.