SIG Valuation

Is SHIL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SHIL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SHIL (£0.19) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£0.01)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SHIL is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SHIL?

Key metric: As SHIL is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for SHIL. This is calculated by dividing SHIL's market cap by their current revenue.
What is SHIL's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.08x
SalesUK£2.65b
Market CapUK£221.32m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SHIL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SHIL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.2x
0.6x3.9%UK£234.8m
ASY Andrews Sykes Group
2.8xn/aUK£216.6m
LTHM James Latham
0.6x1.6%UK£233.5m
MACF Macfarlane Group
0.6x4.2%UK£166.4m
0.08x2.5%UK£221.3m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SHIL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (1.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does SHIL's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Trade Distributors Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a3.3%
0.08x2.5%US$280.81m
SHI SIG
0.08x2.5%US$280.81m
LORD Lords Group Trading
0.1x1.9%US$76.19m
No. of Companies5PS00.61.21.82.43+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.8%
0.08x79.0%US$280.81m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SHIL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the UK Trade Distributors industry average (0.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SHIL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SHIL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.08x
Fair PS Ratio0.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: SHIL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SHIL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£0.19
UK£0.26
+34.1%
15.8%UK£0.32UK£0.20n/a8
Nov ’25UK£0.23
UK£0.26
+12.2%
15.8%UK£0.32UK£0.20n/a8
Oct ’25UK£0.20
UK£0.27
+36.5%
17.1%UK£0.33UK£0.18n/a8
Sep ’25UK£0.24
UK£0.28
+16.6%
12.4%UK£0.33UK£0.21n/a8
Aug ’25UK£0.24
UK£0.28
+14.5%
13.9%UK£0.35UK£0.21n/a8
Jul ’25UK£0.25
UK£0.28
+11.7%
15.3%UK£0.35UK£0.21n/a8
Jun ’25UK£0.27
UK£0.31
+13.9%
14.2%UK£0.37UK£0.23n/a8
May ’25UK£0.26
UK£0.33
+24.9%
12.8%UK£0.38UK£0.26n/a8
Apr ’25UK£0.29
UK£0.33
+12.5%
13.2%UK£0.38UK£0.26n/a8
Mar ’25UK£0.31
UK£0.36
+15.1%
15.5%UK£0.45UK£0.27n/a8
Feb ’25UK£0.32
UK£0.36
+10.0%
15.5%UK£0.45UK£0.27n/a8
Jan ’25UK£0.33
UK£0.35
+5.1%
17.2%UK£0.45UK£0.27n/a8
Dec ’24UK£0.29
UK£0.35
+21.2%
17.2%UK£0.45UK£0.27n/a8
Nov ’24UK£0.28
UK£0.35
+24.0%
18.4%UK£0.45UK£0.27UK£0.237
Oct ’24UK£0.36
UK£0.39
+9.7%
19.5%UK£0.50UK£0.30UK£0.208
Sep ’24UK£0.35
UK£0.39
+13.0%
19.5%UK£0.50UK£0.30UK£0.248
Aug ’24UK£0.29
UK£0.39
+36.7%
19.6%UK£0.50UK£0.30UK£0.248
Jul ’24UK£0.34
UK£0.45
+29.7%
14.7%UK£0.55UK£0.33UK£0.258
Jun ’24UK£0.39
UK£0.45
+15.2%
14.7%UK£0.55UK£0.33UK£0.278
May ’24UK£0.44
UK£0.45
+2.9%
14.9%UK£0.55UK£0.33UK£0.267
Apr ’24UK£0.43
UK£0.45
+4.6%
14.9%UK£0.55UK£0.33UK£0.297
Mar ’24UK£0.42
UK£0.41
-3.3%
19.9%UK£0.59UK£0.33UK£0.317
Feb ’24UK£0.37
UK£0.48
+31.7%
43.5%UK£1.00UK£0.33UK£0.328
Jan ’24UK£0.30
UK£0.48
+63.2%
40.1%UK£1.00UK£0.35UK£0.339
Dec ’23UK£0.31
UK£0.49
+61.4%
38.4%UK£1.00UK£0.35UK£0.299
Nov ’23UK£0.31
UK£0.49
+58.5%
38.4%UK£1.00UK£0.35UK£0.289

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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