Ceres Power Holdings plc

BATS-CHIXE:CWRL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£314.4m

Ceres Power Holdings Valuation

Is CWRL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CWRL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate CWRL's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate CWRL's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CWRL?

Key metric: As CWRL is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for CWRL. This is calculated by dividing CWRL's market cap by their current revenue.
What is CWRL's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio8x
SalesUK£39.16m
Market CapUK£314.37m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does CWRL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for CWRL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.4x
XPP XP Power
1.1x3.4%UK£313.9m
TFW FW Thorpe
2xn/aUK£360.2m
LUCE Luceco
0.9x8.2%UK£195.9m
DSCV discoverIE Group
1.4x2.8%UK£613.1m
CWRL Ceres Power Holdings
8x21.5%UK£314.4m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: CWRL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8x) compared to the peer average (1.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does CWRL's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Electrical Industry?

11 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DSCV discoverIE Group
1.4x2.8%US$768.21m
VLX Volex
0.7x6.7%US$684.71m
XPP XP Power
1.1x3.4%US$393.36m
LUCE Luceco
0.9x8.2%US$245.44m
No. of Companies11PS0612182430+
11 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: CWRL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8x) compared to the UK Electrical industry average (1.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CWRL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CWRL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio8x
Fair PS Ratio4.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: CWRL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CWRL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£1.64
UK£4.14
+153.4%
50.3%UK£7.65UK£1.15n/a12
Nov ’25UK£2.01
UK£4.08
+103.0%
52.4%UK£7.65UK£1.15n/a12
Oct ’25UK£2.69
UK£4.31
+60.2%
47.7%UK£7.65UK£1.60n/a11
Sep ’25UK£1.88
UK£3.95
+109.7%
53.7%UK£7.65UK£1.25n/a12
Aug ’25UK£2.16
UK£3.86
+78.7%
52.3%UK£7.65UK£1.25n/a13
Jul ’25UK£1.89
UK£3.82
+102.4%
52.0%UK£7.65UK£1.25n/a13
Jun ’25UK£2.20
UK£3.90
+77.4%
49.7%UK£7.65UK£1.25n/a14
May ’25UK£1.67
UK£3.96
+137.8%
49.3%UK£7.65UK£1.25n/a14
Apr ’25UK£1.42
UK£4.08
+187.8%
50.3%UK£8.00UK£1.25n/a14
Mar ’25UK£1.73
UK£4.08
+135.7%
50.3%UK£8.00UK£1.25n/a14
Feb ’25UK£2.09
UK£4.49
+114.6%
44.5%UK£8.00UK£1.60n/a11
Jan ’25UK£1.83
UK£5.36
+193.2%
50.4%UK£10.15UK£2.00n/a11
Dec ’24UK£1.75
UK£5.68
+225.5%
49.9%UK£10.15UK£2.00n/a10
Nov ’24UK£2.00
UK£6.32
+216.0%
42.1%UK£10.35UK£2.00UK£2.0111
Oct ’24UK£3.18
UK£7.18
+125.9%
27.2%UK£10.35UK£4.40UK£2.6911
Sep ’24UK£3.32
UK£7.24
+118.3%
30.9%UK£11.40UK£3.65UK£1.8813
Aug ’24UK£3.57
UK£7.28
+103.7%
31.3%UK£11.40UK£3.65UK£2.1613
Jul ’24n/a
UK£7.49
0%
32.8%UK£12.00UK£3.65UK£1.8913
Jun ’24n/a
UK£7.49
0%
32.8%UK£12.00UK£3.65UK£2.2013
May ’24n/a
UK£7.87
0%
36.4%UK£13.00UK£3.65UK£1.6713
Apr ’24n/a
UK£8.02
0%
35.7%UK£13.00UK£3.65UK£1.4212
Mar ’24n/a
UK£8.46
0%
40.6%UK£15.60UK£3.65UK£1.7312
Feb ’24n/a
UK£8.58
0%
40.1%UK£15.60UK£3.65UK£2.0912
Jan ’24n/a
UK£9.16
0%
40.2%UK£15.60UK£3.65UK£1.8313
Dec ’23n/a
UK£9.34
0%
37.2%UK£15.60UK£3.65UK£1.7513
Nov ’23n/a
UK£9.57
0%
37.3%UK£15.60UK£3.65UK£2.0013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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