Luceco Valuation

Is LUCE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LUCE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LUCE (£1.37) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£2.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LUCE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LUCE?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

LUCE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.9x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LUCE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LUCE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.5x
XPP XP Power
n/a84.5%UK£250.6m
ROOF Atrato Onsite Energy
17.1x32.4%UK£109.7m
TFW FW Thorpe
20.7xn/aUK£457.4m
DWHT Dewhurst Group
14.7xn/aUK£60.8m
LUCE Luceco
12.6xn/aUK£210.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LUCE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x) compared to the peer average (6.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LUCE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electrical Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a28.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a28.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LUCE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x) compared to the European Electrical industry average (18.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LUCE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LUCE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LUCE's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LUCE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£1.39
UK£1.53
+10.2%
13.1%UK£1.70UK£1.25n/a3
Mar ’25UK£1.35
UK£1.53
+13.4%
13.1%UK£1.70UK£1.25n/a3
Feb ’25UK£1.38
UK£1.53
+11.4%
13.1%UK£1.70UK£1.25n/a3
Jan ’25UK£1.24
UK£1.43
+15.6%
9.2%UK£1.55UK£1.25n/a3
Dec ’24UK£1.20
UK£1.43
+19.4%
9.2%UK£1.55UK£1.25n/a3
Nov ’24UK£1.10
UK£1.43
+30.3%
9.2%UK£1.55UK£1.25n/a3
Oct ’24UK£1.16
UK£1.43
+23.6%
9.2%UK£1.55UK£1.25n/a3
Sep ’24UK£1.24
UK£1.43
+15.8%
9.2%UK£1.55UK£1.25n/a3
Aug ’24UK£1.28
UK£1.43
+11.8%
9.2%UK£1.55UK£1.25n/a3
Jul ’24UK£1.25
UK£1.37
+9.5%
9.6%UK£1.55UK£1.25n/a3
Jun ’24UK£1.25
UK£1.37
+9.3%
9.6%UK£1.55UK£1.25n/a3
May ’24UK£1.12
UK£1.37
+22.0%
9.6%UK£1.55UK£1.25n/a3
Apr ’24UK£1.22
UK£1.37
+11.7%
9.6%UK£1.55UK£1.25n/a3
Mar ’24UK£1.40
UK£1.15
-17.9%
18.4%UK£1.30UK£0.85UK£1.353
Feb ’24UK£1.34
UK£1.15
-13.9%
18.4%UK£1.30UK£0.85UK£1.383
Jan ’24UK£0.98
UK£1.07
+8.6%
17.3%UK£1.30UK£0.85UK£1.243
Dec ’23UK£0.88
UK£1.07
+21.8%
17.3%UK£1.30UK£0.85UK£1.203
Nov ’23UK£0.86
UK£1.07
+23.6%
17.3%UK£1.30UK£0.85UK£1.103
Oct ’23UK£0.83
UK£1.59
+92.0%
19.4%UK£2.00UK£1.25UK£1.163
Sep ’23UK£0.77
UK£2.05
+167.3%
8.0%UK£2.25UK£1.85UK£1.243
Aug ’23UK£1.07
UK£2.05
+91.9%
8.0%UK£2.25UK£1.85UK£1.283
Jul ’23UK£1.04
UK£2.87
+175.6%
15.7%UK£3.50UK£2.50UK£1.253
Jun ’23UK£1.27
UK£2.87
+126.1%
15.7%UK£3.50UK£2.50UK£1.253
May ’23UK£1.89
UK£3.80
+101.1%
5.7%UK£4.00UK£3.50UK£1.123
Apr ’23UK£2.00
UK£3.80
+90.0%
5.7%UK£4.00UK£3.50UK£1.223
Mar ’23UK£2.47
UK£4.77
+93.4%
6.9%UK£5.20UK£4.40UK£1.403

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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