Balfour Beatty plc

BATS-CHIXE:BBYL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£2.3b

Balfour Beatty Valuation

Is BBYL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BBYL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BBYL (£4.53) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£3.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BBYL is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BBYL?

Key metric: As BBYL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BBYL. This is calculated by dividing BBYL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BBYL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10x
EarningsUK£230.00m
Market CapUK£2.31b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BBYL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BBYL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.3x
MGNS Morgan Sindall Group
14.4x2.8%UK£1.8b
KLR Keller Group
8.7x2.4%UK£1.1b
RNWH Renew Holdings
17x7.2%UK£831.0m
KIE Kier Group
13x14.7%UK£663.0m
BBYL Balfour Beatty
10x0.1%UK£2.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BBYL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the peer average (13.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BBYL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Construction Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies20PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BBYL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the European Construction industry average (13.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BBYL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BBYL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10x
Fair PE Ratio14.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BBYL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BBYL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£4.53
UK£4.73
+4.5%
18.3%UK£5.75UK£2.50n/a9
Nov ’25UK£4.43
UK£4.65
+5.0%
17.1%UK£5.20UK£2.50n/a9
Oct ’25UK£4.37
UK£4.58
+4.9%
16.9%UK£5.20UK£2.50n/a9
Sep ’25UK£4.17
UK£4.58
+9.8%
16.9%UK£5.20UK£2.50n/a9
Aug ’25UK£4.15
UK£4.41
+6.2%
16.2%UK£5.00UK£2.50n/a9
Jul ’25UK£3.65
UK£4.39
+20.3%
16.0%UK£5.00UK£2.50n/a9
Jun ’25UK£3.72
UK£4.39
+18.0%
16.0%UK£5.00UK£2.50n/a9
May ’25UK£3.70
UK£4.36
+17.9%
15.6%UK£4.80UK£2.50n/a9
Apr ’25UK£3.83
UK£4.36
+13.8%
15.6%UK£4.80UK£2.50n/a9
Mar ’25UK£3.44
UK£4.28
+24.3%
16.3%UK£4.75UK£2.50n/a9
Feb ’25UK£3.31
UK£4.35
+31.5%
16.3%UK£4.75UK£2.50n/a8
Jan ’25UK£3.32
UK£4.17
+25.4%
17.6%UK£4.75UK£2.50n/a8
Dec ’24UK£3.32
UK£4.17
+25.6%
17.6%UK£4.75UK£2.50n/a8
Nov ’24UK£3.03
UK£4.16
+37.1%
17.6%UK£4.75UK£2.50UK£4.438
Oct ’24UK£3.22
UK£4.16
+29.0%
17.6%UK£4.75UK£2.50UK£4.378
Sep ’24UK£3.23
UK£4.08
+26.2%
17.4%UK£4.75UK£2.50UK£4.178
Aug ’24UK£3.51
UK£4.14
+18.1%
17.4%UK£4.75UK£2.50UK£4.158
Jul ’24UK£3.43
UK£4.14
+20.7%
17.4%UK£4.75UK£2.50UK£3.658
Jun ’24UK£3.68
UK£4.14
+12.6%
17.4%UK£4.75UK£2.50UK£3.728
May ’24UK£3.82
UK£4.16
+9.0%
17.4%UK£4.75UK£2.50UK£3.707
Apr ’24UK£3.72
UK£4.06
+9.1%
18.9%UK£4.75UK£2.30UK£3.838
Mar ’24UK£3.65
UK£3.88
+6.0%
17.9%UK£4.75UK£2.30UK£3.448
Feb ’24UK£3.67
UK£3.88
+5.5%
17.9%UK£4.75UK£2.30UK£3.318
Jan ’24UK£3.38
UK£3.78
+11.7%
16.2%UK£4.50UK£2.30UK£3.328
Dec ’23UK£3.28
UK£3.69
+12.6%
16.4%UK£4.50UK£2.30UK£3.328
Nov ’23UK£3.02
UK£3.64
+20.6%
15.1%UK£4.10UK£2.30UK£3.038

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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