Arbonia Valuation

Is ARBNZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ARBNZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ARBNZ (CHF11.45) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF75.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ARBNZ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ARBNZ?

Key metric: As ARBNZ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ARBNZ. This is calculated by dividing ARBNZ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ARBNZ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio48.6x
EarningsCHF 16.35m
Market CapCHF 794.47m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ARBNZ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ARBNZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.2x
JHD James Halstead
19.2x4.1%UK£796.1m
GEN Genuit Group
43.2x30.7%UK£1.0b
FAN Volution Group
25.9x12.1%UK£1.1b
NXR Norcros
8.7x-1.2%UK£232.5m
ARBNZ Arbonia
48.6x-29.6%CHF 794.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ARBNZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (48.6x) compared to the peer average (24.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ARBNZ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Building Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies11PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ARBNZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (48.6x) compared to the European Building industry average (20x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ARBNZ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ARBNZ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio48.6x
Fair PE Ratio7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ARBNZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (48.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ARBNZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 11.45
CHF 15.07
+31.6%
10.3%CHF 17.00CHF 13.20n/a3
Nov ’25CHF 12.22
CHF 15.07
+23.3%
10.3%CHF 17.00CHF 13.20n/a3
Oct ’25CHF 12.80
CHF 15.07
+17.7%
10.3%CHF 17.00CHF 13.20n/a3
Sep ’25CHF 13.18
CHF 14.40
+9.3%
5.9%CHF 15.00CHF 13.20n/a3
Aug ’25CHF 12.64
CHF 14.40
+13.9%
5.9%CHF 15.00CHF 13.20n/a3
Jul ’25CHF 12.64
CHF 14.40
+13.9%
5.9%CHF 15.00CHF 13.20n/a3
Jun ’25CHF 12.74
CHF 14.40
+13.0%
5.9%CHF 15.00CHF 13.20n/a3
May ’25CHF 12.18
CHF 12.08
-0.8%
17.3%CHF 15.00CHF 10.25n/a3
Apr ’25CHF 12.04
CHF 11.08
-7.9%
6.5%CHF 12.00CHF 10.25n/a3
Mar ’25CHF 11.90
CHF 11.08
-6.9%
6.5%CHF 12.00CHF 10.25n/a3
Feb ’25CHF 10.04
CHF 10.38
+3.3%
15.7%CHF 12.00CHF 8.75n/a2
Jan ’25CHF 9.64
CHF 10.38
+7.6%
15.7%CHF 12.00CHF 8.75n/a2
Dec ’24CHF 8.26
CHF 10.75
+30.1%
11.6%CHF 12.00CHF 9.50n/a2
Nov ’24CHF 7.72
CHF 10.75
+39.2%
11.6%CHF 12.00CHF 9.50CHF 12.222
Oct ’24CHF 8.38
CHF 10.75
+28.3%
11.6%CHF 12.00CHF 9.50CHF 12.802
Sep ’24CHF 9.07
CHF 10.75
+18.5%
11.6%CHF 12.00CHF 9.50CHF 13.182
Aug ’24CHF 10.14
CHF 12.95
+27.7%
10.6%CHF 14.60CHF 11.25CHF 12.643
Jul ’24CHF 10.12
CHF 13.62
+34.6%
12.3%CHF 15.00CHF 11.25CHF 12.643
Jun ’24CHF 10.66
CHF 15.03
+41.0%
2.4%CHF 15.50CHF 14.60CHF 12.743
May ’24CHF 10.88
CHF 15.03
+38.2%
2.4%CHF 15.50CHF 14.60CHF 12.183
Apr ’24CHF 10.90
CHF 15.03
+37.9%
2.4%CHF 15.50CHF 14.60CHF 12.043
Mar ’24CHF 12.20
CHF 14.90
+22.1%
8.6%CHF 16.50CHF 13.00CHF 11.904
Feb ’24CHF 13.04
CHF 15.03
+15.2%
9.1%CHF 16.50CHF 13.00CHF 10.044
Jan ’24CHF 12.96
CHF 15.68
+20.9%
14.0%CHF 19.00CHF 13.00CHF 9.644
Dec ’23CHF 14.08
CHF 15.68
+11.3%
14.0%CHF 19.00CHF 13.00CHF 8.264
Nov ’23CHF 11.90
CHF 15.93
+33.8%
14.3%CHF 19.00CHF 13.00CHF 7.724

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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