Airbus Valuation

Is AIRP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AIRP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AIRP (€137.73) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€347.1)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AIRP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AIRP?

Key metric: As AIRP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AIRP. This is calculated by dividing AIRP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AIRP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio33.5x
Earnings€3.27b
Market Cap€109.52b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AIRP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AIRP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.9x
BA. BAE Systems
21.1x7.7%UK£38.8b
RR. Rolls-Royce Holdings
19.5x-0.09%UK£45.6b
BAB Babcock International Group
13.7x14.2%UK£2.6b
QQ. QinetiQ Group
17.2x14.2%UK£2.4b
AIRP Airbus
33.5x21.8%€109.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AIRP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.5x) compared to the peer average (17.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AIRP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Aerospace & Defense Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies9PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AIRP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.5x) compared to the European Aerospace & Defense industry average (22.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AIRP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AIRP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio33.5x
Fair PE Ratio39.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AIRP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AIRP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€137.73
€161.41
+17.2%
11.2%€185.00€109.00n/a22
Nov ’25€140.63
€161.82
+15.1%
11.8%€200.00€109.00n/a22
Oct ’25€128.67
€163.70
+27.2%
11.6%€200.00€109.00n/a20
Sep ’25€142.39
€165.50
+16.2%
10.9%€200.00€109.00n/a20
Aug ’25€138.88
€164.60
+18.5%
10.8%€200.00€109.00n/a20
Jul ’25€131.97
€167.85
+27.2%
11.6%€210.00€119.00n/a20
Jun ’25€155.42
€179.90
+15.8%
11.7%€210.00€119.00n/a20
May ’25€154.77
€179.40
+15.9%
11.4%€202.00€119.00n/a20
Apr ’25€172.30
€172.05
-0.1%
12.0%€202.00€106.00n/a21
Mar ’25€152.94
€163.86
+7.1%
13.7%€195.00€106.00n/a22
Feb ’25€147.52
€162.00
+9.8%
13.9%€203.00€105.00n/a22
Jan ’25€139.88
€155.45
+11.1%
14.4%€208.00€100.00n/a22
Dec ’24€138.06
€151.64
+9.8%
12.2%€185.00€100.00n/a22
Nov ’24€127.74
€150.41
+17.7%
12.1%€185.00€101.00€140.6322
Oct ’24€127.11
€149.14
+17.3%
13.1%€193.00€100.00€128.6721
Sep ’24€134.13
€148.90
+11.0%
13.3%€193.00€100.00€142.3921
Aug ’24€131.85
€148.10
+12.3%
13.5%€193.00€100.00€138.8820
Jul ’24€132.54
€145.15
+9.5%
13.7%€193.00€100.00€131.9720
Jun ’24€125.99
€144.41
+14.6%
15.3%€200.00€100.00€155.4217
May ’24€126.17
€144.09
+14.2%
15.5%€200.00€100.00€154.7717
Apr ’24€123.58
€144.53
+16.9%
15.2%€200.00€100.00€172.3018
Mar ’24€122.01
€144.42
+18.4%
15.3%€200.00€100.00€152.9418
Feb ’24€115.75
€142.58
+23.2%
12.7%€185.00€105.00€147.5218
Jan ’24€111.33
€147.79
+32.8%
12.2%€200.00€130.00€139.8817
Dec ’23€109.44
€149.97
+37.0%
12.5%€200.00€132.00€138.0617
Nov ’23€111.66
€148.44
+32.9%
11.4%€185.00€132.00€127.7417

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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