Airbus Valuation

Is AIRP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AIRP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AIRP (€154.77) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€238.4)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AIRP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AIRP?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AIRP key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA19.1x
PEG Ratio1.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AIRP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AIRP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.1x
BA. BAE Systems
21.7x6.7%UK£40.3b
RR. Rolls-Royce Holdings
14.1x-6.9%UK£34.1b
BAB Babcock International Group
78.1x29.7%UK£2.6b
QQ. QinetiQ Group
18.3x14.3%UK£2.0b
AIRP Airbus
31.2x18.1%€122.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AIRP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.2x) compared to the peer average (33.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AIRP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Aerospace & Defense Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AIRP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.2x) compared to the European Aerospace & Defense industry average (27.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AIRP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AIRP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31.2x
Fair PE Ratio40.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AIRP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AIRP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€154.77
€178.40
+15.3%
11.2%€202.00€119.00n/a20
Apr ’25€172.30
€172.05
-0.1%
12.0%€202.00€106.00n/a21
Mar ’25€152.94
€163.86
+7.1%
13.7%€195.00€106.00n/a22
Feb ’25€147.52
€162.00
+9.8%
13.9%€203.00€105.00n/a22
Jan ’25€139.88
€155.45
+11.1%
14.4%€208.00€100.00n/a22
Dec ’24€138.06
€151.64
+9.8%
12.2%€185.00€100.00n/a22
Nov ’24€127.74
€150.41
+17.7%
12.1%€185.00€101.00n/a22
Oct ’24€127.11
€149.14
+17.3%
13.1%€193.00€100.00n/a21
Sep ’24€134.13
€148.90
+11.0%
13.3%€193.00€100.00n/a21
Aug ’24€131.85
€148.10
+12.3%
13.5%€193.00€100.00n/a20
Jul ’24€132.54
€145.15
+9.5%
13.7%€193.00€100.00n/a20
Jun ’24€125.99
€144.41
+14.6%
15.3%€200.00€100.00n/a17
May ’24€126.17
€144.09
+14.2%
15.5%€200.00€100.00€154.7717
Apr ’24€123.58
€144.53
+16.9%
15.2%€200.00€100.00€172.3018
Mar ’24€122.01
€144.42
+18.4%
15.3%€200.00€100.00€152.9418
Feb ’24€115.75
€142.58
+23.2%
12.7%€185.00€105.00€147.5218
Jan ’24€111.33
€147.79
+32.8%
12.2%€200.00€130.00€139.8817
Dec ’23€109.44
€149.97
+37.0%
12.5%€200.00€132.00€138.0617
Nov ’23€111.66
€148.44
+32.9%
11.4%€185.00€132.00€127.7417
Oct ’23€88.48
€143.75
+62.5%
14.9%€185.00€80.76€127.1117
Sep ’23€95.40
€151.08
+58.4%
11.2%€185.00€129.00€134.1318
Aug ’23€102.90
€150.69
+46.4%
11.2%€185.00€129.00€131.8518
Jul ’23€95.38
€147.82
+55.0%
15.5%€182.00€80.76€132.5418
Jun ’23€109.84
€150.24
+36.8%
10.8%€182.00€132.00€125.9919
May ’23€105.58
€147.02
+39.3%
9.0%€178.00€126.00€126.1719

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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