Stock Analysis

Getting In Cheap On Checkit plc (LON:CKT) Is Unlikely

AIM:CKT
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 2.5x in the Electrical industry in the United Kingdom, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Checkit plc's (LON:CKT) P/S ratio of 2.1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Checkit

ps-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:CKT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 17th 2024

What Does Checkit's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times haven't been great for Checkit as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to lift, which has kept the P/S from declining. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Checkit.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Checkit would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 17% gain to the company's top line. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 9.1% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 16% each year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 90% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Checkit's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On Checkit's P/S

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Given that Checkit's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Checkit that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.