Stock Analysis

Strong week for TI Fluid Systems (LON:TIFS) shareholders doesn't alleviate pain of three-year loss

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LSE:TIFS

While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the TI Fluid Systems plc (LON:TIFS) share price up 20% in a single quarter. But that doesn't help the fact that the three year return is less impressive. In fact, the share price is down 38% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return.

The recent uptick of 7.6% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

See our latest analysis for TI Fluid Systems

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During five years of share price growth, TI Fluid Systems moved from a loss to profitability. However, it made a loss in the last twelve months, suggesting profit may be an unreliable metric at this stage. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.

We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 5.7% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. It's probably worth investigating TI Fluid Systems further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

LSE:TIFS Earnings and Revenue Growth December 21st 2023

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, TI Fluid Systems' TSR for the last 3 years was -33%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that TI Fluid Systems shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 21% over one year. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 1.2% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. You could get a better understanding of TI Fluid Systems' growth by checking out this more detailed historical graph of earnings, revenue and cash flow.

We will like TI Fluid Systems better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on British exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether TI Fluid Systems is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.