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Dowlais Group Future Growth
Future criteria checks 0/6
Dowlais Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 38.3% and 1.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 24.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.7% in 3 years.
Key information
38.3%
Earnings growth rate
24.91%
EPS growth rate
| Auto Components earnings growth | 35.6% |
| Revenue growth rate | 1.2% |
| Future return on equity | 9.71% |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 23 Jan 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
DWL: Acquisition Terms And Margin Reset Will Expose Overstretched Earnings Assumptions
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Dowlais Group, with recent price target increases of £0.20 and £0.09 helping to push the implied valuation higher alongside updated assumptions for the discount rate, profit margin and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Dowlais Group highlights a mix of optimism around the repriced fair value and some caution around execution and sector exposure.DWL: Revenue Assumptions Will Exceed Realistic Levels Despite Regulatory Progress
Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their price targets on Dowlais Group, including increases of £0.20 and £0.09 from recent reports, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E as key drivers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Dowlais Group points to refreshed thinking on fair value, with price targets adjusted by £0.20 and £0.09 as analysts revisit their assumptions around discount rates, revenue trajectories, margins, and future P/E multiples.American Axle Merger And New Programs Will Boost Global Leadership
Analysts modestly raised Dowlais Group’s price target to £0.754 after the successful progress of the American Axle acquisition, though they believe the deal’s benefits are now fully priced in, limiting upside potential. Analyst Commentary Price targets were raised modestly as the American Axle acquisition approaches completion.
Powertrain Model Shift And Restructuring Will Boost Operational Efficiency
Strategic shift to a powertrain-agnostic model and regional focus is aimed at enhancing business resilience and efficiency, boosting future net margins.Health Check: How Prudently Does Dowlais Group (LON:DWL) Use Debt?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...Is Dowlais Group (LON:DWL) A Risky Investment?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 4,369 | -25 | 168 | 361 | 2 |
| 12/31/2026 | 4,265 | -62 | 114 | 315 | 2 |
| 12/31/2025 | 4,257 | -113 | 58 | 238 | 2 |
| 6/30/2025 | 4,229 | -84 | -94 | 96 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 4,283 | -126 | -82 | 108 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 4,337 | -169 | -71 | 120 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 4,469 | -338 | -77 | 156 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 4,601 | -507 | -84 | 192 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 4,733 | -499 | -70 | 216 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 4,864 | -491 | -56 | 239 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 4,888 | -277 | -15 | 263 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 4,911 | -64 | 25 | 287 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 4,753 | -73 | 7 | 249 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 4,595 | -82 | -12 | 210 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 4,123 | -302 | 55 | 223 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 4,126 | -199 | 205 | 390 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: DWL is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Earnings vs Market: DWL is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
High Growth Earnings: DWL is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: DWL's revenue (1.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the UK market (4.2% per year).
High Growth Revenue: DWL's revenue (1.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: DWL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.7%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/02/02 14:39 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/02/02 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Dowlais Group plc is covered by 10 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Andrew Simms | Berenberg |
| Eleanor Spencer | Berenberg |
| James Bayliss | Berenberg |