Harley-Davidson, Inc.

LSE:0QYY Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.2b

Harley-Davidson Valuation

Is 0QYY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0QYY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0QYY ($32.54) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($30.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0QYY is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0QYY?

Key metric: As 0QYY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0QYY. This is calculated by dividing 0QYY's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0QYY's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7x
EarningsUS$598.06m
Market CapUS$4.19b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0QYY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0QYY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.4x
TIFS TI Fluid Systems
11.9x21.4%UK£894.7m
603529 AIMA Technology Group
17.4x18.3%CN¥32.6b
689009 Ninebot
28.7x27.6%CN¥34.1b
1585 Yadea Group Holdings
15.6x16.0%HK$41.7b
0QYY Harley-Davidson
7x2.5%US$4.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0QYY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x) compared to the peer average (18.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0QYY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0QYY 7.0xIndustry Avg. 14.4xNo. of Companies17PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0QYY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (14.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0QYY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0QYY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7x
Fair PE Ratio18x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0QYY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0QYY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$32.54
US$37.61
+15.6%
8.1%US$40.00US$31.50n/a9
Nov ’25US$31.72
US$38.17
+20.3%
7.8%US$40.00US$31.50n/a9
Oct ’25US$38.15
US$42.31
+10.9%
11.2%US$50.00US$33.50n/a8
Sep ’25US$37.33
US$42.06
+12.7%
11.7%US$50.00US$33.50n/a8
Aug ’25US$36.33
US$42.25
+16.3%
10.7%US$50.00US$36.00n/a8
Jul ’25US$32.70
US$42.44
+29.8%
12.3%US$51.00US$34.00n/a9
Jun ’25US$35.86
US$42.67
+19.0%
11.5%US$51.00US$36.00n/a9
May ’25US$34.31
US$43.31
+26.2%
11.1%US$51.00US$36.00n/a10
Apr ’25US$43.69
US$44.01
+0.7%
11.8%US$55.00US$37.00n/a10
Mar ’25US$36.09
US$43.11
+19.5%
10.0%US$50.00US$37.00n/a9
Feb ’25US$33.32
US$40.94
+22.9%
14.0%US$50.00US$29.00n/a9
Jan ’25US$36.95
US$40.39
+9.3%
13.8%US$50.00US$29.00n/a9
Dec ’24US$30.95
US$38.94
+25.8%
16.8%US$50.00US$29.00n/a9
Nov ’24US$27.13
US$41.50
+53.0%
10.8%US$50.00US$33.00US$31.729
Oct ’24US$33.03
US$46.28
+40.1%
12.4%US$55.00US$35.00US$38.159
Sep ’24US$34.01
US$46.83
+37.7%
10.2%US$55.00US$40.00US$37.339
Aug ’24US$38.29
US$46.83
+22.3%
10.2%US$55.00US$40.00US$36.339
Jul ’24US$35.35
US$45.61
+29.0%
13.2%US$57.00US$36.00US$32.709
Jun ’24US$31.32
US$47.28
+51.0%
14.0%US$57.00US$37.00US$35.869
May ’24US$37.44
US$48.81
+30.4%
11.5%US$57.00US$39.00US$34.318
Apr ’24US$37.86
US$52.39
+38.4%
10.0%US$65.00US$47.00US$43.699
Mar ’24US$47.52
US$51.65
+8.7%
12.7%US$65.00US$39.00US$36.0910
Feb ’24US$45.43
US$48.20
+6.1%
12.3%US$60.00US$39.00US$33.3210
Jan ’24US$41.15
US$47.73
+16.0%
12.4%US$60.00US$39.00US$36.9511
Dec ’23US$47.09
US$46.91
-0.4%
13.3%US$60.00US$39.00US$30.9511
Nov ’23US$44.33
US$46.10
+4.0%
14.5%US$60.00US$40.00US$27.1310

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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