Yadea Group Holdings Ltd.

SEHK:1585 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$41.9b

Yadea Group Holdings Valuation

Is 1585 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1585 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1585 (HK$13.76) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$21.89)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1585 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1585?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

1585 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.3x
PEG Ratio1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1585's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1585 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21x
2451 Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman)
15.7xn/aHK$2.6b
1958 BAIC Motor
8x8.7%HK$18.2b
3931 CALB Group
51.2x35.4%HK$21.9b
175 Geely Automobile Holdings
9.2x-4.5%HK$141.4b
1585 Yadea Group Holdings
15.6x16.0%HK$41.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1585 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the peer average (21x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1585's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Auto Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1585 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the Asian Auto industry average (18.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1585's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1585 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.6x
Fair PE Ratio10.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1585 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1585 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$13.76
HK$14.14
+2.7%
14.2%HK$16.70HK$9.85n/a11
Nov ’25HK$13.40
HK$14.32
+6.9%
14.3%HK$16.94HK$9.99n/a11
Oct ’25HK$13.82
HK$14.09
+1.9%
18.1%HK$17.23HK$8.60n/a12
Sep ’25HK$11.00
HK$14.27
+29.7%
18.5%HK$17.08HK$8.64n/a12
Aug ’25HK$10.70
HK$17.14
+60.2%
15.8%HK$21.69HK$10.00n/a12
Jul ’25HK$9.87
HK$17.33
+75.6%
15.6%HK$21.64HK$10.00n/a12
Jun ’25HK$12.48
HK$18.45
+47.8%
8.8%HK$21.76HK$16.09n/a11
May ’25HK$15.10
HK$18.40
+21.8%
9.4%HK$21.79HK$16.12n/a11
Apr ’25HK$12.68
HK$18.32
+44.5%
9.6%HK$21.85HK$15.97n/a11
Mar ’25HK$12.66
HK$19.12
+51.1%
13.7%HK$25.16HK$16.00n/a10
Feb ’25HK$11.04
HK$19.65
+78.0%
12.3%HK$25.32HK$16.17n/a10
Jan ’25HK$13.72
HK$21.32
+55.4%
9.0%HK$25.37HK$19.51n/a9
Dec ’24HK$14.54
HK$21.43
+47.4%
9.5%HK$25.33HK$19.48n/a9
Nov ’24HK$13.92
HK$21.32
+53.2%
9.7%HK$24.78HK$19.06HK$13.4010
Oct ’24HK$14.54
HK$21.35
+46.8%
9.8%HK$24.82HK$19.09HK$13.8210
Sep ’24HK$15.08
HK$21.73
+44.1%
9.7%HK$25.01HK$19.09HK$11.009
Aug ’24HK$17.22
HK$23.76
+38.0%
4.8%HK$25.16HK$21.79HK$10.709
Jul ’24HK$17.82
HK$23.37
+31.1%
5.7%HK$24.99HK$20.65HK$9.879
Jun ’24HK$15.42
HK$24.14
+56.6%
6.6%HK$26.87HK$21.17HK$12.489
May ’24HK$18.32
HK$24.75
+35.1%
6.5%HK$27.63HK$21.77HK$15.109
Apr ’24HK$20.25
HK$23.82
+17.6%
7.1%HK$26.06HK$20.56HK$12.689
Mar ’24HK$17.70
HK$22.42
+26.7%
11.2%HK$25.70HK$19.21HK$12.668
Feb ’24HK$18.40
HK$21.69
+17.9%
11.4%HK$26.28HK$18.61HK$11.048
Jan ’24HK$13.06
HK$20.71
+58.5%
11.7%HK$25.42HK$17.99HK$13.729
Dec ’23HK$14.40
HK$20.27
+40.7%
11.4%HK$24.82HK$17.64HK$14.549
Nov ’23HK$12.12
HK$20.44
+68.7%
10.9%HK$24.66HK$17.53HK$13.929

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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