Mercedes-Benz Group Valuation

Is 0NXX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0NXX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€88.48
Fair Value
43.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
22
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 0NXX (€49.83) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€88.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0NXX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0NXX?

Key metric: As 0NXX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0NXX. This is calculated by dividing 0NXX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0NXX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.3x
Earnings€8.91b
Market Cap€47.64b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0NXX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0NXX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.4x
BMW Bayerische Motoren Werke
6.9x9.16%€45.4b
VOW3 Volkswagen
4.8x15.59%€44.7b
P911 Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche
11.7x11.23%€37.4b
GM General Motors
6.1x1.20%US$47.4b
0NXX Mercedes-Benz Group
5.3x2.90%€47.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0NXX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the peer average (7.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0NXX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0NXX 5.3xIndustry Avg. 14.3xNo. of Companies18PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0NXX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (14.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0NXX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0NXX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.3x
Fair PE Ratio18.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0NXX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0NXX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€49.83
€63.99
+28.43%
22.22%€90.00€38.00n/a22
Jun ’26€52.83
€64.17
+21.48%
21.91%€90.00€38.00n/a22
May ’26€52.82
€64.90
+22.87%
20.52%€90.00€46.00n/a22
Apr ’26€54.07
€69.12
+27.82%
21.29%€106.00€47.00n/a22
Mar ’26€59.03
€68.13
+15.42%
21.86%€106.00€47.00n/a23
Feb ’26€59.03
€67.60
+14.51%
23.03%€106.00€47.00n/a23
Jan ’26€53.62
€68.38
+27.53%
23.32%€106.00€45.00n/a22
Dec ’25€52.74
€70.63
+33.91%
20.93%€106.00€45.00n/a22
Nov ’25€55.97
€71.45
+27.65%
21.34%€112.00€45.00n/a22
Oct ’25€57.67
€74.33
+28.89%
21.40%€112.00€49.00n/a22
Sep ’25€62.32
€82.91
+33.04%
20.17%€125.00€55.00n/a22
Aug ’25€59.51
€83.41
+40.15%
20.17%€125.00€55.00n/a22
Jul ’25€65.10
€87.95
+35.11%
18.70%€127.00€60.00n/a22
Jun ’25€65.86
€88.09
+33.75%
18.57%€127.00€60.00€52.8322
May ’25€70.94
€86.82
+22.38%
18.20%€125.00€60.00€52.8222
Apr ’25€73.82
€85.36
+15.64%
18.49%€125.00€60.00€54.0722
Mar ’25€74.67
€83.74
+12.15%
19.61%€125.00€60.00€59.0323
Feb ’25€63.30
€78.78
+24.45%
21.24%€116.00€50.00€59.0323
Jan ’25€62.65
€79.58
+27.01%
21.91%€120.00€50.00€53.6222
Dec ’24€59.57
€80.91
+35.82%
20.93%€120.00€50.00€52.7422
Nov ’24€55.96
€83.75
+49.66%
19.31%€120.00€50.00€55.9722
Oct ’24€65.91
€90.23
+36.90%
14.58%€120.00€70.00€57.6722
Sep ’24€65.86
€90.55
+37.49%
14.02%€120.00€70.00€62.3222
Aug ’24€71.35
€92.55
+29.70%
12.79%€120.00€73.50€59.5122
Jul ’24€73.60
€92.18
+25.25%
12.00%€115.00€73.50€65.1022
Jun ’24€70.31
€92.18
+31.11%
12.00%€115.00€73.50€65.8622
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 22 Analysts
€64.38
Fair Value
22.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
22
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/06/17 02:11
End of Day Share Price 2025/06/17 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Mercedes-Benz Group AG is covered by 61 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Gerhard SchwarzBaader Helvea Equity Research
null nullBanco de Sabadell. S.A.
Eduardo González MartínBanco Santander