Schaeffler Valuation

Is SHA0D undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SHA0D when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SHA0D (€4.46) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€8.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SHA0D is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SHA0D?

Key metric: As SHA0D is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SHA0D. This is calculated by dividing SHA0D's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SHA0D's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio27.8x
Earnings€144.00m
Market Cap€4.01b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SHA0D's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SHA0D vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.8x
TIFS TI Fluid Systems
12.7x21.4%UK£951.8m
ABDP AB Dynamics
45.9x16.7%UK£445.3m
CTA CT Automotive Group
4xn/aUK£29.4m
TRT Transense Technologies
16.5xn/aUK£25.9m
SHA0D Schaeffler
27.8x73.0%€4.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SHA0D is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.8x) compared to the peer average (19.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SHA0D's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies8PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SHA0D is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.8x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (9.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SHA0D's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SHA0D PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SHA0D's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SHA0D forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€5.87
0%
27.8%€8.80€4.00n/a10
Dec ’25n/a
€6.04
0%
26.9%€8.80€4.00n/a9
Nov ’25n/a
€6.09
0%
30.5%€8.80€4.00n/a9
Oct ’25n/a
€6.13
0%
29.5%€8.80€4.20n/a9
Sep ’25n/a
€6.72
0%
24.9%€9.50€4.50n/a10
Aug ’25n/a
€6.77
0%
23.9%€9.50€4.90n/a10
Jul ’25n/a
€7.08
0%
25.3%€10.00€4.90n/a10
Jun ’25n/a
€7.10
0%
24.4%€10.00€4.90n/a8
May ’25n/a
€6.70
0%
21.6%€8.80€4.90n/a7
Apr ’25n/a
€6.70
0%
21.6%€8.80€4.90n/a7
Mar ’25n/a
€6.38
0%
18.6%€8.20€4.50n/a8
Feb ’25n/a
€6.07
0%
17.5%€8.00€4.50n/a9
Jan ’25n/a
€6.07
0%
17.5%€8.00€4.50n/a9
Dec ’24€5.09
€6.02
+18.3%
18.5%€8.00€4.50n/a9
Nov ’24n/a
€6.20
0%
17.0%€8.00€4.50n/a8
Oct ’24€5.40
€6.57
+21.7%
15.0%€8.00€4.90n/a12
Sep ’24n/a
€6.57
0%
15.0%€8.00€4.90n/a12
Aug ’24n/a
€6.66
0%
15.0%€8.00€4.90n/a12
Jul ’24€5.66
€6.87
+21.3%
17.1%€9.50€5.20n/a12
Jun ’24n/a
€6.84
0%
17.0%€9.50€5.20n/a12
May ’24€6.71
€7.14
+6.5%
16.2%€9.50€5.30n/a12
Apr ’24€6.60
€6.91
+4.8%
13.2%€8.00€5.30n/a12
Mar ’24€6.87
€6.62
-3.7%
15.7%€8.00€4.50n/a12
Feb ’24€6.52
€6.46
-0.9%
15.6%€8.00€4.50n/a12
Jan ’24€6.40
€6.13
-4.2%
22.5%€9.00€4.50n/a12

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 08:23
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/12 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Schaeffler AG is covered by 30 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Romain GourvilBerenberg
Stephen BenhamouBNP Paribas Exane
Stuart PearsonBNP Paribas Exane