Stock Analysis

Is Autins Group (LON:AUTG) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

AIM:AUTG
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Autins Group plc (LON:AUTG) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Autins Group

What Is Autins Group's Debt?

As you can see below, Autins Group had UK£3.70m of debt, at March 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of UK£1.27m, its net debt is less, at about UK£2.42m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
AIM:AUTG Debt to Equity History August 8th 2023

How Strong Is Autins Group's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Autins Group had liabilities of UK£5.46m due within 12 months, and liabilities of UK£7.23m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of UK£1.27m as well as receivables valued at UK£4.62m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by UK£6.80m.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of UK£7.10m. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Autins Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Autins Group reported revenue of UK£20m, which is a gain of 6.3%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Autins Group produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping UK£2.5m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through UK£152k of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Autins Group that you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Autins Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.