Stock Analysis

Why ID Logistics Group SA (EPA:IDL) Could Be Worth Watching

ENXTPA:IDL
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While ID Logistics Group SA (EPA:IDL) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the ENXTPA. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s examine ID Logistics Group’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

Check out our latest analysis for ID Logistics Group

What's The Opportunity In ID Logistics Group?

According to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average, the stock currently looks expensive. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that ID Logistics Group’s ratio of 43.44x is above its peer average of 10.67x, which suggests the stock is trading at a higher price compared to the Logistics industry. Another thing to keep in mind is that ID Logistics Group’s share price is quite stable relative to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This means that if you believe the current share price should move towards the levels of its industry peers over time, a low beta could suggest it is not likely to reach that level anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard for it to fall back down into an attractive buying range again.

What kind of growth will ID Logistics Group generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ENXTPA:IDL Earnings and Revenue Growth March 11th 2023

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for ID Logistics Group. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in IDL’s positive outlook, with shares trading above industry price multiples. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe IDL should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on IDL for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for IDL, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you want to dive deeper into ID Logistics Group, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. At Simply Wall St, we found 1 warning sign for ID Logistics Group and we think they deserve your attention.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.