Stock Analysis

Munic (EPA:ALMUN) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

ENXTPA:ALMUN
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Munic S.A. (EPA:ALMUN) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

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What Is Munic's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Munic had €6.96m in debt in June 2022; about the same as the year before. However, it does have €7.51m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of €558.9k.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTPA:ALMUN Debt to Equity History December 7th 2022

How Healthy Is Munic's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Munic had liabilities of €9.78m due within a year, and liabilities of €4.91m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had €7.51m in cash and €4.93m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €2.25m.

Of course, Munic has a market capitalization of €30.5m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Munic boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

We also note that Munic improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive €144k. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Munic's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Munic may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last year, Munic saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Summing Up

We could understand if investors are concerned about Munic's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of €558.9k. So while Munic does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Munic (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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Find out whether Munic is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.