Stock Analysis

Icape Holding (EPA:ALICA) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around

ENXTPA:ALICA
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If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after investigating Icape Holding (EPA:ALICA), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Icape Holding, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.11 = €7.8m ÷ (€145m - €76m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

Thus, Icape Holding has an ROCE of 11%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Electronic industry average of 6.0% it's much better.

Check out our latest analysis for Icape Holding

roce
ENXTPA:ALICA Return on Capital Employed December 31st 2024

In the above chart we have measured Icape Holding's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Icape Holding for free.

How Are Returns Trending?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Icape Holding, we didn't gain much confidence. Around four years ago the returns on capital were 20%, but since then they've fallen to 11%. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.

On a related note, Icape Holding has decreased its current liabilities to 52% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE. Either way, they're still at a pretty high level, so we'd like to see them fall further if possible.

What We Can Learn From Icape Holding's ROCE

From the above analysis, we find it rather worrisome that returns on capital and sales for Icape Holding have fallen, meanwhile the business is employing more capital than it was four years ago. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 29% over the last year, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.

Like most companies, Icape Holding does come with some risks, and we've found 3 warning signs that you should be aware of.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.