Stock Analysis

At €2.46, Is Cabasse Group (EPA:ALCG) Worth Looking At Closely?

ENXTPA:ALVG
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Cabasse Group (EPA:ALCG), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the ENXTPA over the last few months, increasing to €3.14 at one point, and dropping to the lows of €2.46. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Cabasse Group's current trading price of €2.46 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Cabasse Group’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for Cabasse Group

What Is Cabasse Group Worth?

Cabasse Group appears to be overvalued by 40% at the moment, based on my discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at €2.46 on the market compared to my intrinsic value of €1.76. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Given that Cabasse Group’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What does the future of Cabasse Group look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ENXTPA:ALCG Earnings and Revenue Growth September 29th 2022

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 82% over the next year, the near-term future seems bright for Cabasse Group. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in ALCG’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe ALCG should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on ALCG for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for ALCG, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you want to dive deeper into Cabasse Group, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Cabasse Group (including 1 which is significant).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.