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Soitec SA (EPA:SOI) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 25%
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Soitec SA (EPA:SOI) shares are down a considerable 25% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 51% share price decline.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Soitec's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in France, where the median P/E ratio is around 14x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Soitec's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
See our latest analysis for Soitec
How Is Soitec's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Soitec's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 49%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 18% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 17% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 12% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it interesting that Soitec is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Key Takeaway
Following Soitec's share price tumble, its P/E is now hanging on to the median market P/E. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Soitec currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Soitec that you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Soitec. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ENXTPA:SOI
Flawless balance sheet with moderate growth potential.
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