Stock Analysis

SRP Groupe S.A. (EPA:SRP) Shares Fly 28% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Those holding SRP Groupe S.A. (EPA:SRP) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 28% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 58% share price drop in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in France have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may still consider SRP Groupe as a highly attractive investment with its 6.6x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

SRP Groupe could be doing better as it's been growing earnings less than most other companies lately. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping earnings don't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for SRP Groupe

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ENXTPA:SRP Price Based on Past Earnings May 12th 2022
Keen to find out how analysts think SRP Groupe's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

SRP Groupe's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 35%. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 65% over the next year. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 13%.

In light of this, it's understandable that SRP Groupe's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Key Takeaway

Even after such a strong price move, SRP Groupe's P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of SRP Groupe's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for SRP Groupe (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than SRP Groupe. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ENXTPA:SRP

SRP Groupe

Engages in the e-commerce business in France and internationally.

Fair value with mediocre balance sheet.

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